01The read
Plymouth Host Coventry: Our Prediction
The model makes Coventry 54% favourites here. Plymouth carry the 21% upset.
Plymouth have won three of their last five; Coventry have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.
Key facts
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 86% of Plymouth's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 58% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Goals look likely here. Plymouth average 1.9 per game (1.9 at home) and Coventry chip in with 2.6 (2.6 away). Defensively, Plymouth concede 1.3 at home and Coventry leak 1.2 on the road. We make it 58% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.
▸ Team news & context
Plymouth are all-out attack: 1.9 goals a game, but they leak 1.3 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Coventry, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Coventry have goals in them (2.6 per game) but their record at the back (1.2 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 7 meetings: Plymouth have won 2, Coventry 4, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.7 goals per game. 4 of the last 7 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Plymouth 3-1 Coventry, Coventry 4-0 Plymouth, Plymouth 2-2 Coventry.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Plymouth HT
4.50
-
Draw HT
2.38
-
Coventry HT
2.15
Latest News
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Team Intel
📊 Coventry · xG
For: 2.09/g
Against: 1.15/g
Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Plymouth vs Coventry Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Plymouth Win |
@4.60
|
20.8% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@4.00
|
24.9% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Coventry Win |
@1.57
|
54.4% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.65
|
50.8% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.15
|
49.2% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.67
|
58.0% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.21
|
42.0% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.20
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.50
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.62
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.47
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Plymouth vs Coventry Head to Head
2 Home Wins
1 Draws
4 Away Wins
2.7
Avg Goals
3/7
BTTS
4/7
Over 2.5
2025-04-21
Plymouth 3-1 Coventry
2024-12-26
Plymouth 0-4 Coventry
2024-02-14
Plymouth 2-2 Coventry
2023-11-28
Plymouth 0-1 Coventry
2019-01-19
Plymouth 2-1 Coventry
2018-08-18
Plymouth 0-1 Coventry
2014-11-12
Plymouth 0-2 Coventry
Full Plymouth vs Coventry head-to-head history →
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
1-2
9.0%
1-3
5.8%
2-3
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-4
2.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices
-
Over 1.5 goals
Smart
84%
@1.23
BetVictor
-
Over 7.5 corners
Smart
84%
@1.30
Superbet
-
Over 2.5 cards
79%
@1.27
Superbet
Combined 2.03
· £5 returns
£10.15
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
85%
@1.20
William Hill
-
Under 2 first half goals
85%
@1.18
Marathon Bet
-
Over 1.5 goals
84%
@1.23
BetVictor
-
Under 4 goals
84%
@1.22
BetVictor
-
Over 7.5 corners
84%
@1.30
Superbet
-
Coventry over 4 corners
84%
@1.19
1xBet
-
Plymouth or Coventry (double chance)
83%
@1.27
Marathon Bet
-
Under 12 corners
83%
@1.20
1xBet
-
Plymouth over 3 corners
83%
@1.21
1xBet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
82%
@1.28
Betano
-
Coventry over 1 goals
82%
@1.22
Marathon Bet
-
Coventry under 7 corners
82%
@1.22
1xBet
Build a slip from these markets →