Who is favourite to win Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?

Our model rates Tottenham as the favourite with a 40.9% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Nottingham Forest 35.0%, draw 26.4%, Tottenham 40.9%.

Where can I watch Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?

Check official Premier League broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 45.8% probability and Under 2.5 goals 54.2%. The lean is towards a tighter, lower-scoring affair.

70% verified · 837 picks Premier League Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:00

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Predictions & Odds

N Nottingham Forest 35.0% @2.75

VS Draw 26.4%

T Tottenham 40.9% @2.50

Our model call Leans Tottenham, but only just A 41% call, draw at 26%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Nottingham Forest 35% 2.75 Draw 26% 3.25 Tottenham 41% 2.50

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 54% 1.85 Over 2.5 46% 2.00 Over 1.5 @1.33

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 49% 1.95 Yes 51% 1.80

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Draw	26.4%	32.9%	6 pts under
Both Teams to Score	51.3%	57.1%	6 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	45.8%	50.8%	5 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Key Stats

01The read

Neighbours Collide: Nottingham Forest and Tottenham Separated by Fine Margins

The model makes Tottenham 41% favourites here. Nottingham Forest carry the 35% upset.

Tottenham slight edge (41%) | Predicted: 1-2 Confidence ★★★★★

Nottingham Forest are winless in their last five; Tottenham have taken 7 points from their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Premier League tie.

Our verdict

Too close to call with any conviction. Tottenham edge it at 41% but a draw (26%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

Where's the value?

The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.

Key facts

📉

Home Wobble Nottingham Forest arrive off 2 straight defeats. The home crowd will need something early

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 61% of Tottenham's matches this season

▸ Form & goals

Nottingham Forest will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Tottenham's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Nottingham Forest's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Nottingham Forest create chances worth 1.4 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Tottenham create 1.2 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +0.1. On the quality of chances, Tottenham look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.

Goals are a tough one to call here. Nottingham Forest are scoring 1.4 a game (0.0 of those at home) and Tottenham manage 1.6 (0.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 46%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%. Two or more goals at @1.33 is a steadier alternative for accas.

Both teams score in 47% of Nottingham Forest's home games and 53% of Tottenham's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.

▸ Team news & context

In the last 10 meetings: Nottingham Forest have won 5, Tottenham 5, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 2.8 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Tottenham 0-3 Nottingham Forest, Nottingham Forest 3-0 Tottenham, Tottenham 1-2 Nottingham Forest, Nottingham Forest 1-0 Tottenham.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (10%) and 1-1 (9%).

First Half Result

Nottingham Forest HT 3.20
Draw HT 2.10
Tottenham HT 3.10

Team Intel

📊 Nottingham Forest · xG

For: 1.41/g Against: 1.60/g

⚠️ Outscoring xG by 0.59/g, possibly running hot

📊 Tottenham · xG

For: 1.16/g Against: 1.03/g

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Nottingham Forest Win	@2.75	35.0%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.25	26.4%	William Hill
Match Result	Tottenham Win	@2.50	40.9%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.80	51.3%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@1.95	48.7%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@2.00	45.8%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.85	54.2%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.33	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@3.40	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@3.75	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.30	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest

2L streak

Last 5 LLDLD

At home LLDDW

Clean sheets 24% BTTS 47% FTS 37%

Tottenham

1W streak

Last 5 WLWLD

On the road LLWW

Clean sheets 24% BTTS 61% FTS 18%

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Team Stats

Nottingham Forest FC

Position 15

Played 1

Record 0W-0D-1L

Goals F/A 0/1

Avg Goals Scored 1.44

Overall Form LLDLD

Home Form LLDDW

Home Record 0W-0D-1L

Tottenham Hotspur FC

Position 17

Played 1

Record 0W-0D-1L

Goals F/A 0/3

Avg Goals Scored 1.57

Overall Form WLWLD

Away Form LLWW

Away Record 0W-0D-1L

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Head to Head

5 Home Wins 0 Draws 5 Away Wins

2.8 Avg Goals

4/10 BTTS

6/10 Over 2.5

2026-03-22 Forest 3-0 Tottenham

2025-12-14 Forest 3-0 Tottenham

2025-04-21 Forest 2-1 Tottenham

2024-12-26 Forest 1-0 Tottenham

2024-04-07 Forest 1-3 Tottenham

2023-12-15 Forest 0-2 Tottenham

2023-03-11 Forest 1-3 Tottenham

2022-11-09 Forest 2-0 Tottenham

2022-08-28 Forest 0-2 Tottenham

2014-09-24 Forest 1-3 Tottenham

Full Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 2-1 9.5%

1-1 8.6%

2-0 7.4%

3-1 7.0%

1-0 6.7%

2-2 6.1%

1-2 5.5%

3-0 5.5%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

Under 3.5 goals 81% @1.30 Betano
Over 7.5 corners 81% @1.23 Unibet
Under 2 second half goals 81% @1.24 Marathon Bet
Nottingham Forest under 6.5 corners 81% @1.24 Unibet
Over 0.5 second half goals 80% @1.29 William Hill
Nottingham Forest or Tottenham (double chance) 80% @1.35 Marathon Bet
Under 12.5 corners 79% @1.26 Unibet
Tottenham over 0.5 goals 78% @1.33 Betano
Nottingham Forest over 0.5 goals 77% @1.36 1xBet
Tottenham over 3.5 corners 77% @1.30 Unibet
Over 1.5 goals 76% @1.35 Betano
Under 1.5 first half goals 75% @1.38 10Bet

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Nottingham Forest v Tottenham builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 76% @ 1.32
2 Over 1.5 Goals 74% @ 1.34

@1.78 £10 returns £17.80

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The record

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verified hit rate across 837 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham: FAQs

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?

Our model makes Tottenham the favourite with a 40.9% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?

Best available odds: Nottingham Forest @ 2.75, Draw @ 3.25, Tottenham @ 2.50. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham kick off?

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 51.3% probability.

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Tottenham to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.