Brentford vs Sunderland Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Brentford have taken five points from their last five; Sunderland have taken 8 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Premier League tie.
Interestingly, Brentford look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.5 a game, but they're only converting 1.4 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Brentford create chances worth 1.5 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Sunderland create 1.3 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Brentford should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.5 a game but they're only getting 1.4 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Brentford are scoring 1.4 a game (1.4 of those at home) and Sunderland manage 1.2 (1.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 58% of Brentford's home games and 47% of Sunderland's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%) and 2-1 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Brentford Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Sunderland Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Brentford vs Sunderland kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.