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Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Fulham have taken 7 points from their last five; Crystal Palace have taken five points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this Premier League tie.
Interestingly, Fulham look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.3 a game, but they're only converting 0.8 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals. Crystal Palace are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.5 against 1.3 actual goals). They look due a few more. A concern for Crystal Palace: they're giving up chances worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.5 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Fulham create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Crystal Palace create 1.5 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Fulham should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.3 a game but they're only getting 0.8 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful. Crystal Palace are creating chances worth 1.5 a game but only finishing 1.3. the underlying performance is better than the results show. Crystal Palace's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Fulham average 0.8 goals per game and Crystal Palace manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.1. We make it 50% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 53% of Fulham's home games and 53% of Crystal Palace's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%) and 1-0 (11%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Fulham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Crystal Palace Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Fulham vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.