Who is favourite to win Hull City vs Manchester United?

Our model rates Manchester United as the favourite with a 62.2% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Hull City 13.4%, draw 24.4%, Manchester United 62.2%.

Where can I watch Hull City vs Manchester United?

Check official Premier League broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Hull City vs Manchester United?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 61.7% probability and Under 2.5 goals 38.3%. The lean is towards a high-scoring game.

69% verified · 778 picks Premier League Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:30

Hull City vs Manchester United Predictions & Odds

H Hull City 13.4% @8.50

VS Draw 24.4%

M Manchester United 62.2% @1.36

Our model call Clear favourites: Manchester United A 62% call, draw at 24%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Hull City 13% 8.50 Draw 24% 4.80 Manchester United 62% 1.36

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 38% 2.38 Over 2.5 62% 1.62 Over 1.5 @1.20

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 56% 1.83 Yes 44% 1.95

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

69% verified · logged before kick-off

Want our pick every time Hull City play?

Get the model's verified verdict on Hull City (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.

03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Manchester United Win	62.2%	75.2%	13 pts under
Both Teams to Score	44.5%	53.2%	9 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	61.7%	62.9%	1 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Key Stats

🎯 Both teams scored in 65% of Hull City home games

01The read

Bragging Rights at Stake: Hull City vs Manchester United

The model makes Manchester United 62% favourites here. Hull City carry the 13% upset.

Manchester United to win (62%) | Three or more goals likely (62%) | Predicted: 1-2 Confidence ★★★★★

Hull City have won three of their last five; Manchester United are unbeaten in their last five. Form gives little away going into this Premier League tie.

Our verdict

We lean towards Manchester United at 62%. The edge is there but not overwhelming, so a stake-back-on-a-draw option is worth a thought for an acca.

Our pick

Our PickManchester United to win at @1.36. Model probability 62% vs implied 74%. The market is 11pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.

Model62%

Market74%

Key facts

📊

H2H Favours Away Manchester United have won 5 of the last 8 encounters. They have a psychological edge

🔥

Creative Force Manchester United creating chances worth 2.1 a game lately. Plenty of openings even away from home

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 65% of Hull City's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet

🎯

Goals Lean We make it 62% for three or more goals in this one

▸ Form & goals

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Hull City create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Manchester United create 1.6 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of +0.1. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.

Goals are a tough one to call here. Hull City are scoring 1.2 a game (1.2 of those at home) and Manchester United manage 2.2 (2.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 62%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 45%. Two or more goals at @1.20 is a steadier alternative for accas.

Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 65% of Hull City's home games and 74% of Manchester United's away matches.

▸ Team news & context

Hull City do it the hard way: only 1.2 a game up top, but a mean 0.6 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Manchester United have goals in them (2.2 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.

In the last 8 meetings: Hull City have won 1, Manchester United 5, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 4 of the last 8 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Manchester United 0-0 Hull City, Hull City 2-1 Manchester United, Manchester United 2-0 Hull City, Hull City 0-1 Manchester United.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (9%) and 1-3 (4%).

First Half Result

Hull City HT 8.00
Draw HT 2.60
Manchester United HT 1.67

Team Intel

📊 Hull City · xG

For: 1.16/g Against: 1.19/g

📊 Manchester United · xG

For: 1.64/g Against: 1.54/g

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Hull City vs Manchester United Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Hull City Win	@8.50	13.4%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@4.80	24.4%	William Hill
Match Result	Manchester United Win	@1.36	62.2%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.95	44.5%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@1.83	55.5%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@1.62	61.7%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@2.38	38.3%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.20	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@5.00	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@2.62	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.55	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Hull City

2W streak 4 unbeaten

Last 5 WWDWL

At home WDW

Clean sheets 24% BTTS 65% FTS 17%

Manchester United

2W streak 5 unbeaten

Last 5 WWDWW

On the road WD

Clean sheets 21% BTTS 71% FTS 11%

Hull City vs Manchester United Head to Head

1 Home Wins 2 Draws 5 Away Wins

2.2 Avg Goals

3/8 BTTS

4/8 Over 2.5

2017-02-01 Hull City 0-0 United

2017-01-26 Hull City 2-1 United

2017-01-10 Hull City 0-2 United

2016-08-27 Hull City 0-1 United

2015-05-24 Hull City 0-0 United

2014-11-29 Hull City 0-3 United

2014-05-06 Hull City 1-3 United

2013-12-26 Hull City 2-3 United

Full Hull City vs Manchester United head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 1-2 8.8%

1-3 4.1%

0-3 3.8%

2-3 2.3%

1-4 1.4%

0-4 1.3%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Same-game fold one leg per market, live prices

Under 3.5 goals 69% @1.55 Betano
Over 7.5 corners Smart 83% @1.27 Superbet
Over 2.5 cards 81% @1.30 Unibet
Joshua Zirkzee 1+ shots on target 80% @1.25 Bet365
Marcus Rashford 1+ shots on target 78% @1.28 Bet365

Combined 4.09 · £5 returns £20.47

Market singles 12 priced markets

Joe Gelhardt 1+ shots 85% @1.18 Bet365
Bruno Fernandes 2+ shots 85% @1.18 Bet365
Under 2 first half goals 85% @1.18 Marathon Bet
Over 6.5 shots on target 84% @1.19 Superbet
Over 7.5 corners 83% @1.27 Superbet
Manchester United under 8.5 corners 83% @1.23 Superbet
Hull City under 5 corners 83% @1.21 1xBet
Under 2.5 second half goals 82% @1.31 Betano
Under 4 goals 81% @1.27 Pinnacle
Over 2.5 cards 81% @1.30 Unibet
Under 12 corners 81% @1.23 1xBet
Joshua Zirkzee 1+ shots on target 80% @1.25 Bet365

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Hull City v Manchester United builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 86% @ 1.16
2 Over 1.5 Goals 79% @ 1.27
3 Both Teams to Score - No 56% @ 1.80

@2.66 £10 returns £26.56

View full breakdown

Follow this match

Get our verified pick by email every time these teams play. Free, one-click unsubscribe.

More Premier League Everton v Crystal Palace Sat 15:00 Ipswich v Sunderland Sat 15:00 Nottingham Forest v Leeds Sat 15:00 Brentford v Tottenham Sat 17:30 All fixtures this week ›

The record

69%

verified hit rate across 778 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

See every pick ›

Hull City vs Manchester United: FAQs

Who will win Hull City vs Manchester United?

Our model makes Manchester United the favourite with a 62.2% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Hull City vs Manchester United?

Best available odds: Hull City @ 8.50, Draw @ 4.80, Manchester United @ 1.36. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Hull City vs Manchester United kick off?

Hull City vs Manchester United kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 in the Premier League.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Manchester United?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 44.5% probability.

Hull City vs Manchester United prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Manchester United to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.