Who is favourite to win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Our model rates Crystal Palace as the favourite with a 43.6% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Fulham 42.6%, draw 23.9%, Crystal Palace 43.6%.

Where can I watch Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Check official Premier League broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 59.0% probability and Under 2.5 goals 41.0%. The lean is towards a high-scoring game.

70% verified · 837 picks Premier League Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:00

Fulham vs Crystal Palace Predictions & Odds

F Fulham 42.6% @2.25

VS Draw 23.9%

C Crystal Palace 43.6% @3.00

Our model call Leans Crystal Palace, but only just A 44% call, draw at 24%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Fulham 43% 2.25 Draw 24% 3.30 Crystal Palace 44% 3.00

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 41% 1.96 Over 2.5 59% 1.91 Over 1.5 @1.28

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 37% 2.10 Yes 63% 1.70

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Crystal Palace Win	43.6%	33.9%	10 pts over
Over 2.5 Goals	59.0%	54.6%	4 pts over
Both Teams to Score	62.8%	60.6%	2 pts over

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Match Stats

Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.

Over 9.5 Match Corners 45% (model) Corners: Fulham avg 5.4 for/5.6 against, Crystal Palace avg 3.1 for/4.4 against → expected 9.3 match corners
Over 3.5 Match Cards 36% (model) Cards: Fulham avg 1.6/game, Crystal Palace avg 1.4/game → expected 3.0 match cards
Over 24.5 Match Fouls 41% (model) Fouls: Fulham avg 11.6/game, Crystal Palace avg 12.0/game → expected 23.6 match fouls
Over 26.5 Match Shots 60% (model) Shots: Fulham avg 16.5/game, Crystal Palace avg 11.5/game → expected 28.0 match shots

Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

01The read

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Match Preview & Prediction

Too close to call on the numbers. Fulham 43%, Crystal Palace 44%, the draw live at 24%.

Crystal Palace slight edge (44%) | Both teams to score (63%) | Predicted: 1-2 Confidence ★★★★★

Fulham have taken 7 points from their last five; Crystal Palace have lost their last two. Form gives little away going into this Premier League tie.

Our verdict

Too close to call with any conviction. Crystal Palace edge it at 44% but a draw (24%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

Our pick

Our PickBoth teams to score at @1.70. Model probability 63% vs implied 59%. The market roughly agrees but our edge sits at 4pp.

Model63%

Market59%

Key facts

🔥

Goals Expected Fulham score 2.0 per game at home and Crystal Palace concede 2.0 away. Goals look inevitable

🤝

Draw Merchants 4 draws from 10 meetings. Stalemates are the pattern here

📉

Cold Run Crystal Palace have lost their last 2. Confidence in that dressing room will be low

🎯

Goals Lean We make it 59% for three or more goals in this one

▸ Form & goals

Fulham will be looking to make home advantage count (W0 D0 L1 at home). Crystal Palace's away record reads W0 D0 L1. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Fulham's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Crystal Palace are creating better chances than their goal return suggests (chance quality of 1.5 against 0.5 actual goals). They look due a few more. A concern for Crystal Palace: they're giving up chances worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.5 for the season). The defence is creaking.

xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.

Fulham create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them 0.0 a game on the balance. Crystal Palace create 1.5 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of 0.0. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. Crystal Palace are creating chances worth 1.5 a game but only finishing 0.5. the underlying performance is better than the results show. Crystal Palace's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.

Goals are a tough one to call here. Fulham are scoring 2.0 a game (2.0 of those at home) and Crystal Palace manage 0.5 (0.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 59%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 63%.

Both teams score in 53% of Fulham's home games and 53% of Crystal Palace's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.

▸ Team news & context

Fulham are all-out attack: 2.0 goals a game, but they leak 3.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Crystal Palace, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.

In the last 10 meetings: Fulham have won 2, Crystal Palace 4, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 2.4 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Fulham 1-2 Crystal Palace, Crystal Palace 1-1 Fulham, Fulham 1-2 Crystal Palace, Fulham 0-3 Crystal Palace.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

If you like Fulham but want a bit of cover, the Home/Draw double chance at @1.36 , which pays out if Fulham win or draw, covers 67% of the outcomes. Most likely scorelines: 2-1 (8%) and 2-2 (7%).

First Half Result

Fulham HT 2.80
Draw HT 2.15
Crystal Palace HT 3.50

Team Intel

📊 Fulham · xG

For: 1.29/g Against: 1.30/g

💎 Underscoring xG by 0.59/g, value possible

📊 Crystal Palace · xG

For: 1.49/g Against: 1.47/g

💎 Underscoring xG by 0.39/g, value possible

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Fulham Win	@2.25	42.6%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.30	23.9%	William Hill
Match Result	Crystal Palace Win	@3.00	43.6%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.70	62.8%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@2.10	37.2%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@1.91	59.0%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.96	41.0%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.28	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@3.75	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@3.40	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.35	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Fulham

1W streak

Last 5 WLWDL

At home WLWLW

Clean sheets 24% BTTS 53% FTS 29%

Crystal Palace

2L streak

Last 5 LLWLD

On the road LDLLW

Clean sheets 32% BTTS 53% FTS 32%

Fulham vs Crystal Palace Team Stats

Fulham FC

Position 14

Played 1

Record 0W-0D-1L

Goals F/A 2/3

Avg Goals Scored 2.00

Overall Form WLWDL

Home Form WLWLW

Home Record 0W-0D-1L

Crystal Palace FC

Position 20

Played 2

Record 0W-0D-2L

Goals F/A 1/6

Avg Goals Scored 0.50

Overall Form LLWLD

Away Form LDLLW

Away Record 0W-0D-1L

Fulham vs Crystal Palace Head to Head

2 Home Wins 4 Draws 4 Away Wins

2.4 Avg Goals

5/10 BTTS

5/10 Over 2.5

2026-08-07 Fulham 1-2 Crystal Palace

2026-01-01 Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace

2025-12-07 Fulham 1-2 Crystal Palace

2025-03-29 Fulham 0-3 Crystal Palace

2025-02-22 Fulham 0-2 Crystal Palace

2024-11-09 Fulham 2-0 Crystal Palace

2024-04-27 Fulham 1-1 Crystal Palace

2023-09-23 Fulham 0-0 Crystal Palace

2023-05-20 Fulham 2-2 Crystal Palace

2022-12-26 Fulham 3-0 Crystal Palace

Full Fulham vs Crystal Palace head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 2-1 7.8%

2-2 6.8%

3-1 6.5%

3-2 5.7%

1-2 5.5%

4-1 4.1%

2-3 4.0%

3-0 3.7%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

Over 0.5 second half goals 82% @1.24 Marathon Bet
Fulham over 0.5 goals 81% @1.25 Bet365
Over 7.5 corners 81% @1.24 Unibet
Over 1.5 goals 80% @1.31 Betano
Under 12.5 corners 80% @1.25 Unibet
Fulham under 7.5 corners 79% @1.26 Unibet
Fulham or Crystal Palace (double chance) 79% @1.35 1xBet
Fulham under 2 goals 79% @1.27 Marathon Bet
Under 3.5 goals 77% @1.35 Betano
Crystal Palace over 0.5 goals 77% @1.37 Betano
Under 2 second half goals 77% @1.30 Marathon Bet
Fulham or Draw (double chance) 75% @1.39 Marathon Bet

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Fulham v Crystal Palace builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 74% @ 1.34
2 Over 1.5 Goals 74% @ 1.36

@1.83 £10 returns £18.29

View full breakdown

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The record

70%

verified hit rate across 837 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Fulham vs Crystal Palace: FAQs

Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Our model makes Crystal Palace the favourite with a 43.6% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Best available odds: Fulham @ 2.25, Draw @ 3.30, Crystal Palace @ 3.00. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Fulham vs Crystal Palace kick off?

Fulham vs Crystal Palace kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 62.8% probability.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Crystal Palace to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.