Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on Nottingham Forest (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
Nottingham Forest have taken five points from their last five; Tottenham have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Premier League tie.
One thing to keep in mind about Nottingham Forest. They're scoring 1.9 goals per game but the quality of chances they create only works out at 1.4. Scoring that much more than the chances suggest (+0.9), that kind of hot finishing usually cools off, so their results may be flattering their actual play.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Nottingham Forest create chances worth 1.4 a game (and give up chances worth 1.5), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. Tottenham create 1.2 (giving up 1.0) for a balance of +0.1. On the quality of chances, Tottenham look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Nottingham Forest are scoring 1.9 goals a game off chances worth just 1.4. That's +0.9 more than the chances suggest: finishing hot. History says this kind of run usually cools off.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Nottingham Forest are scoring 1.9 a game (1.9 of those at home) and Tottenham manage 1.2 (1.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 47% of Nottingham Forest's home games and 53% of Tottenham's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Nottingham Forest are all-out attack: 1.9 goals a game, but they leak 1.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Tottenham, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Tottenham prefer to keep things tight (0.8 conceded per game) and nick a goal on the break. Patience will be key for Nottingham Forest against this setup.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%) and 1-0 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Nottingham Forest Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Tottenham Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 in the Premier League.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.