Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Newcastle vs Liverpool Bet Builder Tip

Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:30 · Premier League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Tracked · part of our verified record

Our 3-Leg Bet Builder

25.9% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @3.86
  • Liverpool or draw

    ≈1.31

    Probability: 76.6% · Fair odds: 1.31

    Tracked this market has hit 92% across 12 verified picks

    Our board prices this at 77%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 100%.)

  • Both Teams to Score

    ≈1.69

    Probability: 59.3% · Fair odds: 1.69

    Tracked this market has hit 53% across 58 verified picks

    Based on odds.

  • Under 3.5 Goals

    ≈1.75

    Probability: 57.0% · Fair odds: 1.75

    Tracked this market has hit 59% across 22 verified picks

    Based on odds consensus.

Our model rates this 3-leg combination at 25.9% combined, blending the strongest match-result and goals markets for Newcastle vs Liverpool. Combined probability assumes the legs are independent, in reality the model-result and goals legs are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide rather than a precise figure. We log every prediction we publish.

Alternative Picks

  • No Draw Double Chance 78.9% @1.24
  • Under 4.5 Goals 73.4% @1.29
  • Newcastle or Draw Double Chance 54.7% @1.88
  • Under 2.5 Goals 51.1% @2.58

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. These are the same markets that make up our verified record for this league.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →

What the market itself rates likely

Taken from bookmaker prices with the margin still inside. These are the bookmakers' own numbers, not our model, and no record of ours stands behind them. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Newcastle or Liverpool (double chance) 84% best 1.27 Marathon Bet
  • Over 7.5 corners 84% best 1.19 Unibet
  • Under 2 first half goals 83% best 1.27 Marathon Bet
  • Over 1 second half goals 83% best 1.21 Marathon Bet
  • Under 4.5 goals 82% best 1.29 Betano
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 82% best 1.28 Betano
  • Newcastle under 2 goals 82% best 1.22 Marathon Bet
  • Liverpool under 7.5 corners 82% best 1.22 Unibet
  • Liverpool or Draw (double chance) 81% best 1.32 1xBet
  • Newcastle over 0.5 goals 81% best 1.30 Unibet
  • Newcastle under 6.5 corners 79% best 1.26 Unibet
  • Liverpool over 3.5 corners 79% best 1.26 Unibet