Charlton vs Derby Bet Builder Tip
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
Our Model's Picks
Tracked · part of our verified recordOur 2-Leg Bet Builder
49.4% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail
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Derby or draw
≈1.50Tracked this market has hit 92% across 12 verified picks
Our board prices this at 67%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 100%.)
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Over 1.5 Goals
≈1.35Tracked this market has hit 78% across 92 verified picks
Based on odds consensus.
Our model rates this 2-leg combination at 49.4% combined, blending the strongest match-result and goals markets for Charlton vs Derby. Combined probability assumes the legs are independent, in reality the model-result and goals legs are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide rather than a precise figure. We log every prediction we publish.
Alternative Picks
- No Draw Double Chance 75.5% @1.32
- Charlton or Draw Double Chance 68.2% @1.46
- Under 2.5 Goals 62.8% @1.78
- No BTTS 51.4% @1.99
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. These are the same markets that make up our verified record for this league.
View our full verified track record → | Full match preview →
What the market itself rates likely
Taken from bookmaker prices with the margin still inside. These are the bookmakers' own numbers, not our model, and no record of ours stands behind them. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game fold one leg per market, live bookie prices
- Under 3.5 goals Smart 80% best 1.31 Betano
- Charlton under 6.5 corners Smart 85% best 1.32 Unibet
- Patrick Agyemang 1+ shots on target 71% best 1.40 Bet365
- Sonny Carey 1+ shots on target 69% best 1.44 Bet365
- Charlie Kelman 1+ shots on target 69% best 1.44 Bet365
Combined 5.02 · £5 returns £25.10
Best prices can sit at different bookmakers, so the combined figure is a guide, not a quote you can take as one slip. Legs from the same game also move together, which flatters a combined price.
Market singles
- Sonny Carey 2+ shots 85% best 1.18 Bet365
- Charlton under 6.5 corners 85% best 1.32 Unibet
- Derby under 6 corners 84% best 1.19 1xBet
- Ibrahim Fullah 1+ shots 83% best 1.20 Bet365
- Over 0.5 second half goals 81% best 1.30 Betano
- Under 2 second half goals 81% best 1.23 Marathon Bet
- Under 3.5 goals 80% best 1.31 Betano
- Charlton or Derby (double chance) 80% best 1.36 Bet365
- Under 11.5 corners 80% best 1.34 Unibet
- Charlton under 6 corners 80% best 1.25 1xBet
- Over 7.5 corners 79% best 1.28 Unibet
- Over 1.5 goals 78% best 1.35 Betano