Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Predictions & Odds
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Tricky away day for FC Augsburg (3rd, 3 pts) as they travel to Werder Bremen (15th, 0 pts), but the visitors' league position tells you they should have more than enough here.
Season-long, FC Augsburg average 3.0 points per game compared to Werder Bremen's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Werder Bremen create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. FC Augsburg create 1.9 (giving up 2.2) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Goals look likely here. Werder Bremen average 1.0 per game (1.0 at home) and FC Augsburg chip in with 3.0 (3.0 away). Defensively, Werder Bremen concede 4.0 at home and FC Augsburg leak 1.5 on the road. We make it 71% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 47%.
Both teams score in 47% of Werder Bremen's home games and 65% of FC Augsburg's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
FC Augsburg have goals in them (3.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.5 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Don't underestimate the visitors. FC Augsburg create chances worth 1.9 a game and Werder Bremen give up chances worth 1.7 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
In the last 10 meetings: Werder Bremen have won 3, FC Augsburg 5, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.3 goals per game. 4 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Werder Bremen 1-3 FC Augsburg, FC Augsburg 0-0 Werder Bremen, Werder Bremen 0-2 FC Augsburg, FC Augsburg 2-2 Werder Bremen.
Most likely scorelines: 1-3 (8%) and 1-4 (7%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Werder Bremen Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | FC Augsburg Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 46.7% probability.