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A Bundesliga meeting between Eintracht Frankfurt (8th, 1 pts) and SC Freiburg (2nd, 3 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Season-long, SC Freiburg average 3.0 points per game compared to Eintracht Frankfurt's 1.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore. Both sides are prolific in front of goal. Eintracht Frankfurt average 3.0 per game and SC Freiburg chip in with 4.0. Expect an open, attacking contest. SC Freiburg could be in for a similar cool-off. 4.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.3. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Eintracht Frankfurt create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. SC Freiburg create 1.3 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. SC Freiburg are also scoring more than their chances suggest (4.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.3). Both runs could cool off at once. A worry for Eintracht Frankfurt: the chances they're creating lately are worth 0.7 a game, well below their 1.2 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
Goals look likely here. Eintracht Frankfurt average 3.0 per game (3.0 at home) and SC Freiburg chip in with 4.0 (4.0 away). Defensively, Eintracht Frankfurt concede 3.0 at home and SC Freiburg leak 1.0 on the road. We make it 75% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. There's a good chance both teams find the net, and we make it 71%. Eintracht Frankfurt score in 100% of their games and SC Freiburg in 74%, and neither back line is tight enough to bank on a clean sheet. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 3.6 goals when they meet, with 7 of the last 10 producing three or more.
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 100% of Eintracht Frankfurt's home games and 41% of SC Freiburg's away matches.
Eintracht Frankfurt are all-out attack: 3.0 goals a game, but they leak 3.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at SC Freiburg, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. SC Freiburg have goals in them (4.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt have won 4, SC Freiburg 2, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 3.6 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 SC Freiburg, SC Freiburg 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt, SC Freiburg 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt, Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 SC Freiburg.
Most likely scorelines: 1-3 (6%) and 2-3 (6%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Eintracht Frankfurt Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | SC Freiburg Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 71.3% probability.