Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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A MLS tie. Our model makes it Seattle Sounders 0%, the draw 0%, New York Red Bulls 0%.
P. Rothrock has been Seattle Sounders's spearhead, with 5 goals and 1 assists in 18 appearances, averaging 0.67 shots on target per game. J. Hall has been New York Red Bulls's main threat, with 9 goals and 3 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game.
Seattle Sounders's home record this season is formidable. W11 D6 L1 from 18, scoring 2.3 goals per game at home. New York Red Bulls, by contrast, have struggled on the road (W2 D4 L11 from 17 away). That imbalance is hard to ignore. A concern for New York Red Bulls: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Seattle Sounders create chances worth 2.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.1), leaving them +0.8 a game on the balance. New York Red Bulls create 1.2 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour Seattle Sounders. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. New York Red Bulls's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Seattle Sounders average 1.8 goals per game and New York Red Bulls manage 1.4. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Seattle Sounders and New York Red Bulls together create chances worth 3.2 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Seattle Sounders are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at New York Red Bulls, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Seattle Sounders Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New York Red Bulls Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:30 in the MLS.