Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Charlotte have taken 8 points from their last five; Houston Dynamo have won five straight. The visitors bring the sharper form into this MLS tie.
Pep Biel has been Charlotte's spearhead, with 10 goals and 5 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 0.95 shots on target per game. Guilherme has been Houston Dynamo's main threat, with 12 goals and 5 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.30 shots on target per game.
Houston Dynamo have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Charlotte create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. Houston Dynamo create 1.4 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of -0.3. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
Charlotte average 1.7 goals per game and Houston Dynamo manage 1.3. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Charlotte Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Houston Dynamo Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.