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FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five; DC United have taken 7 points from their last six. The momentum is with the hosts going into this MLS tie.
Evander has been FC Cincinnati's spearhead, with 11 goals and 8 assists in 19 appearances, averaging 1.63 shots on target per game. T. Baribo has been DC United's main threat, with 12 goals and 0 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. FC Cincinnati come in on a W-D-W-L-W run, DC United have gone L-D-D-W-D-D, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. FC Cincinnati's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. A concern for DC United: they're giving up chances worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.3 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
FC Cincinnati create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.9), leaving them -0.7 a game on the balance. DC United create 1.1 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of -0.2. On the quality of chances, DC United look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. DC United's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.7 a game over their last 5 vs 1.3 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
FC Cincinnati average 1.4 goals per game and DC United manage 0.9. Combined that's just 2.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 10 meetings: FC Cincinnati have won 4, DC United 4, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: FC Cincinnati 1-2 DC United, DC United 0-1 FC Cincinnati, DC United 2-3 FC Cincinnati.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | FC Cincinnati Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | DC United Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
FC Cincinnati vs DC United kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.