Orlando City SC vs San Diego Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Orlando City SC have taken 7 points from their last five; San Diego have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
M. Ojeda has been Orlando City SC's spearhead, with 11 goals and 0 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 1.60 shots on target per game. M. Ingvartsen has been San Diego's main threat, with 11 goals and 2 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 0.95 shots on target per game.
Orlando City SC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Orlando City SC create chances worth 1.8 a game (and give up chances worth 2.0), leaving them -0.2 a game on the balance. San Diego create 1.8 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of +0.5. On the quality of chances, San Diego look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Orlando City SC average 1.8 goals per game and San Diego manage 1.6. Combined that's just 3.4. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Orlando City SC and San Diego together create chances worth 3.6 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Orlando City SC are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.5 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at San Diego, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Orlando City SC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | San Diego Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Orlando City SC vs San Diego kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.