Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Toronto FC have taken six points from their last five; Chicago Fire have won three straight. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
D. Sallói has been Toronto FC's spearhead, with 5 goals and 3 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.00 shots on target per game. H. Cuypers has been Chicago Fire's main threat, with 13 goals and 0 assists in 11 appearances, averaging 2.00 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Toronto FC come in on a D-W-D-L-D run, Chicago Fire have gone W-W-W-L-L, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Toronto FC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Chicago Fire could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.0 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.8. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Toronto FC create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Chicago Fire create 1.8 (giving up 1.3) for a balance of +0.5. On the quality of chances, Chicago Fire look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Chicago Fire are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.0 goals vs chance quality of 1.8). Both runs could cool off at once.
Toronto FC average 1.1 goals per game and Chicago Fire manage 2.0. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
Chicago Fire have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.8 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: Toronto FC have won 2, Chicago Fire 5, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Chicago Fire 2-1 Toronto FC, Chicago Fire 2-2 Toronto FC, Toronto FC 1-2 Chicago Fire.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Toronto FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Chicago Fire Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.