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In-form New England Revolution travel to DC United knowing momentum is on their side.
DC United welcome New England Revolution in the MLS. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
T. Baribo has been DC United's spearhead, with 11 goals and 0 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 1.07 shots on target per game. Carles Gil has been New England Revolution's main threat, with 7 goals and 3 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.82 shots on target per game.
DC United will be looking to make home advantage count (W2 D7 L8 at home). New England Revolution's away record reads W5 D5 L7. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. New England Revolution have been outstanding on the road recently. Their away form is significantly better than their season average.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
DC United create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.3), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. New England Revolution create 1.2 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of -0.2. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath.
This doesn't look like a high-scoring one. DC United average 0.9 goals per game and New England Revolution manage 1.3. Combined that's just 2.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | DC United Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | New England Revolution Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
DC United vs New England Revolution kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.