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All eyes on Columbus Crew as CF Montreal travel to face Columbus Crew.
Columbus Crew welcome CF Montreal in the MLS. We've crunched the numbers. Here's our preview.
The lead strikers on both sides carry the narrative here. Columbus Crew will lean on whoever's hot in front of goal, while CF Montreal travel with the same brief: find a way past a back four that's been organised more often than not this season.
Our PickColumbus Crew to win at @1.53. Model probability 58% vs implied 65%. priced at fair value, so take it for stability rather than edge.
Priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues — see /accuracy.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Columbus Crew come in on a D-W-L-W-D run, CF Montreal have gone D-L-L-D-D, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Columbus Crew's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. Columbus Crew have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.6. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Columbus Crew create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.2), leaving them +0.4 a game on the balance. CF Montreal create 1.3 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of -0.2. The underlying numbers clearly favour Columbus Crew. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Columbus Crew are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.0 a game over the last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Columbus Crew are scoring 1.6 a game (1.8 of those at home) and CF Montreal manage 1.0 (1.2 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 67%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 54%.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Columbus Crew Win | @1.53 | 58.4% | William Hill |
| Match Result | Draw | @4.33 | 19.9% | William Hill |
| Match Result | CF Montreal Win | @4.80 | 17.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | Yes | @1.60 | 53.8% | William Hill |
| BTTS | No | @2.25 | 46.2% | William Hill |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | @1.53 | 66.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | @2.55 | 33.5% | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | @1.14 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | @5.50 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | @2.25 | - | Bet365 |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | @1.65 | - | Bet365 |
Our model makes Columbus Crew the favourite with a 58.4% win probability, priced off the bookmakers and our model. Our verified record so far is on our core leagues.
Best available odds: Columbus Crew @ 1.53, Draw @ 4.33, CF Montreal @ 4.80. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.
Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.