Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Austin (6th, 47 pts) host San Jose Earthquakes (10th, 41 pts) in the MLS. Both sides will be targeting three points here.
M. Uzuni has been Austin's spearhead, with 6 goals and 0 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.94 shots on target per game. P. Judd has been San Jose Earthquakes's main threat, with 11 goals and 2 assists in 19 appearances, averaging 1.42 shots on target per game.
A concern for San Jose Earthquakes: they're giving up chances worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.5 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Austin create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.9), leaving them -0.8 a game on the balance. San Jose Earthquakes create 1.8 (giving up 1.5) for a balance of +0.3. On the quality of chances, San Jose Earthquakes look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. San Jose Earthquakes's defence is giving up chances. Worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 vs 1.5 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Austin average 1.3 goals per game and San Jose Earthquakes manage 1.8. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
San Jose Earthquakes have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.9 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Austin Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | San Jose Earthquakes Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:30 in the MLS.