Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Predictions & Odds
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Werder Bremen have lost three in a row; RB Leipzig have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this Bundesliga tie.
The gap in chance quality is clear: RB Leipzig come out at +0.3 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.6. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Werder Bremen create chances worth 1.2 a game (and give up chances worth 1.7), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. RB Leipzig create 2.0 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of +0.3. On the quality of chances, RB Leipzig look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Goals are a tough one to call here. Werder Bremen are scoring 1.0 a game (1.0 of those at home) and RB Leipzig manage 2.0 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 47% of Werder Bremen's home games and 59% of RB Leipzig's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
RB Leipzig have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (2.2 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Don't underestimate the visitors. RB Leipzig create chances worth 2.0 a game and Werder Bremen give up chances worth 1.7 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
In the last 10 meetings: Werder Bremen have won 0, RB Leipzig 6, with 4 draws. These fixtures average 2.4 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig, RB Leipzig 2-0 Werder Bremen, Werder Bremen 0-0 RB Leipzig, RB Leipzig 4-2 Werder Bremen.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Werder Bremen Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | RB Leipzig Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.