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SC Paderborn 07 are unbeaten in their last six; SC Freiburg have taken 7 points from their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Bundesliga tie.
Goals are a tough one to call here. SC Paderborn 07 are scoring 1.8 a game (1.8 of those at home) and SC Freiburg manage 1.8 (1.8 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring looks unlikely (just 29%). SC Paderborn 07 shut the door in 50% of their games and SC Freiburg draw a blank in 26% of theirs, so don't be surprised if one side keeps it tight at the back.
Both teams score in 50% of SC Paderborn 07's home games and 41% of SC Freiburg's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
SC Paderborn 07 are in great shape right now, banging in 1.8 a game and only letting in 0.7. They're strong at both ends, so they tend to boss games and don't give much away at the back.
In the last 7 meetings: SC Paderborn 07 have won 3, SC Freiburg 3, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 3.3 goals per game. 5 of the last 7 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: SC Freiburg 1-3 SC Paderborn 07, SC Freiburg 0-2 SC Paderborn 07, SC Paderborn 07 1-3 SC Freiburg, SC Paderborn 07 1-2 SC Freiburg.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%) and 2-1 (10%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | SC Paderborn 07 Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | SC Freiburg Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.