1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions & Odds
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1899 Hoffenheim have won four of their last six; Borussia Dortmund have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this Bundesliga tie.
Both sides are prolific in front of goal. 1899 Hoffenheim average 2.5 per game and Borussia Dortmund chip in with 2.0. Expect an open, attacking contest. The gap in chance quality is clear: Borussia Dortmund come out at +1.0 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to +0.3. that's a real edge in the quality of chances.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
1899 Hoffenheim create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. Borussia Dortmund create 2.2 (giving up 1.2) for a balance of +1.0. On the quality of chances, Borussia Dortmund look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Goals are a tough one to call here. 1899 Hoffenheim are scoring 2.5 a game (2.5 of those at home) and Borussia Dortmund manage 2.0 (2.0 on the road). Add it up and it's basically a coin-flip whether we see three or more, we make it 50%, so there's no strong lean either way on the goals line. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 65% of 1899 Hoffenheim's home games and 59% of Borussia Dortmund's away matches.
1899 Hoffenheim are all-out attack: 2.5 goals a game, but they leak 1.0 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Borussia Dortmund, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Borussia Dortmund have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
In the last 10 meetings: 1899 Hoffenheim have won 2, Borussia Dortmund 7, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 5 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: 1899 Hoffenheim 2-1 Borussia Dortmund, Borussia Dortmund 2-0 1899 Hoffenheim, 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund, Borussia Dortmund 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%) and 2-1 (9%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | 1899 Hoffenheim Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Borussia Dortmund Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.