Who is favourite to win Monza vs Udinese?

Our model rates Udinese as the favourite with a 46.8% win probability. The full 1X2 split: Monza 23.0%, draw 28.2%, Udinese 46.8%.

Where can I watch Monza vs Udinese?

Check official Serie A broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in Monza vs Udinese?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 51.1% probability and Under 2.5 goals 48.9%. The lean is towards a high-scoring game.

70% verified · 824 picks Serie A Saturday 29 August 2026, 17:30

Monza vs Udinese Predictions & Odds

M Monza 23.0% @3.25

VS Draw 28.2%

U Udinese 46.8% @2.25

Our model call Leans Udinese, but only just A 47% call, draw at 28%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

Monza 23% 3.25 Draw 28% 3.00 Udinese 47% 2.25

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 49% 1.71 Over 2.5 51% 2.20 Over 1.5 @1.40

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 49% 1.83 Yes 51% 1.91

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Monza Win	23.0%	32.5%	9 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	51.1%	46.9%	4 pts over
Both Teams to Score	51.2%	52.9%	2 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Key Stats

01The read

Monza Host Udinese: Our Prediction

Monza 23%, the draw 28%, Udinese 47%. That's the shape of this one.

Udinese slight edge (47%) | Predicted: 0-2 Confidence ★★★★★

Monza (19th, 0 pts) host Udinese (10th, 1 pts) in the Serie A. Both sides will be targeting three points here.

Our verdict

A razor-thin margin: Udinese at 47%, but the draw sits at 28%. Covering two of the three results is the sensible approach when the margins are this fine.

Where's the value?

The bookmakers have priced this match fairly. Our model doesn't see a big edge in the match result market.

Key facts

🤝

Draw Merchants 3 draws from 7 meetings. Stalemates are the pattern here

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 100% of Monza's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet

▸ Form & goals

Season-long, Udinese average 1.0 points per game compared to Monza's 0.0. that gap in consistency is hard to ignore.

Monza average 1.0 goals per game and Udinese manage 1.0. Combined that's just 2.0. We make it 51% for three or more, so there's no strong lean on the goals line. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 51%.

Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 100% of Monza's home games and 53% of Udinese's away matches.

▸ Team news & context

Monza need points desperately. Sitting 19th in the table, every match feels like a cup final now.

In the last 7 meetings: Monza have won 2, Udinese 2, with 3 draws. These fixtures average 2.9 goals per game. 5 of the last 7 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: Udinese 1-2 Monza, Monza 1-2 Udinese, Udinese 0-0 Monza, Monza 1-1 Udinese.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (9%).

First Half Result

Monza HT 3.80
Draw HT 2.05
Udinese HT 2.80

Team Intel

📊 Udinese · xG

For: 1.21/g Against: 1.52/g

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

Monza vs Udinese Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	Monza Win	@3.25	23.0%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@3.00	28.2%	William Hill
Match Result	Udinese Win	@2.25	46.8%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.91	51.2%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@1.83	48.8%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@2.20	51.1%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@1.71	48.9%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.40	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@3.03	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@4.00	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.25	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

Monza

1L streak

Last 1 L

BTTS 100%

Udinese

1 unbeaten

Last 5 DLLWW

On the road LWD

Clean sheets 29% BTTS 45% FTS 29%

Monza vs Udinese Team Stats

AC Monza

Position 19

Played 1

Record 0W-0D-1L

Goals F/A 1/4

Avg Goals Scored 1.00

Overall Form L

Home Record 0W-0D-0L

Udinese Calcio

Position 10

Played 1

Record 0W-1D-0L

Goals F/A 1/1

Avg Goals Scored 1.00

Points 1

Overall Form DLLWW

Away Form LWD

Away Record 0W-0D-0L

Monza vs Udinese Head to Head

2 Home Wins 3 Draws 2 Away Wins

2.9 Avg Goals

6/7 BTTS

5/7 Over 2.5

2025-05-11 Monza 2-1 Udinese

2024-12-09 Monza 1-2 Udinese

2024-02-03 Monza 0-0 Udinese

2023-10-29 Monza 1-1 Udinese

2023-04-08 Monza 2-2 Udinese

2022-10-19 Monza 3-2 Udinese

2022-08-26 Monza 1-2 Udinese

Full Monza vs Udinese head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 0-2 9.4%

1-2 9.4%

0-3 7.9%

1-3 7.9%

0-1 7.5%

0-4 4.9%

1-4 4.9%

2-3 3.9%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

Under 2 second half goals 85% @1.18 Marathon Bet
Under 11.5 corners 85% @1.20 Unibet
Under 3.5 goals 84% @1.25 Bet365
Monza over 2.5 corners 84% @1.19 Unibet
Over 6.5 corners 82% @1.24 Betano
Monza under 6.5 corners 81% @1.23 Unibet
Over 0.5 second half goals 81% @1.33 William Hill
Udinese over 0.5 goals 79% @1.31 Betano
Udinese over 2.5 corners 78% @1.28 Unibet
Udinese or Draw (double chance) 78% @1.36 1xBet
Under 1.5 first half goals 77% @1.36 10Bet
Monza or Udinese (double chance) 77% @1.38 Marathon Bet

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our Monza v Udinese builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 Udinese or Draw 73% @ 1.36
2 Over 1.5 Goals 73% @ 1.38

@1.88 £10 returns £18.77

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The record

70%

verified hit rate across 824 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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Monza vs Udinese: FAQs

Who will win Monza vs Udinese?

Our model makes Udinese the favourite with a 46.8% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for Monza vs Udinese?

Best available odds: Monza @ 3.25, Draw @ 3.00, Udinese @ 2.25. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does Monza vs Udinese kick off?

Monza vs Udinese kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:30 in the Serie A.

Will both teams score in Monza vs Udinese?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 51.2% probability.

Monza vs Udinese prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Udinese to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.