Juventus vs Parma Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Juventus have taken six points from their last five; Parma have lost three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this Serie A tie.
Interestingly, Juventus look better than their results show. The quality of chances they create is worth 1.9 a game, but they're only converting 1.0 goals. They're creating more than the scoreline shows and look due a few more goals. The gap in chance quality is clear: Juventus come out at +1.1 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.9. that's a real edge in the quality of chances. A concern for Parma: they're giving up chances worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.6 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Juventus create chances worth 1.9 a game (and give up chances worth 0.8), leaving them +1.1 a game on the balance. Parma create 0.7 (giving up 1.6) for a balance of -0.9. The underlying numbers clearly favour Juventus. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Juventus should be scoring more. Their chances are worth 1.9 a game but they're only getting 1.0 goals. When the finishing clicks, they'll be a handful. Parma's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.0 a game over their last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Juventus average 1.0 goals per game and Parma manage 0.8. Combined that's just 1.8. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring looks unlikely (just 29%). Juventus shut the door in 42% of their games and Parma draw a blank in 42% of theirs, so don't be surprised if one side keeps it tight at the back.
Both teams score in 47% of Juventus's home games and 32% of Parma's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed. Juventus keep the other side out in 42% of games and Parma fail to score 42% of the time. there's a real chance one side keeps it tight at the back.
Juventus do it the hard way: only 1.0 a game up top, but a mean 0.8 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. The chance data suggests Juventus will create openings. The chances they create are worth 1.9 a game and Parma give up chances worth 1.6 on the road. Expect Juventus to see plenty of the ball.
Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%) and 0-0 (15%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Juventus Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Parma Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Juventus vs Parma kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:45 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.