Cagliari vs Inter Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Cagliari have won three of their last five; Inter have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this Serie A tie.
Inter could be in for a similar cool-off. 2.7 goals a game against chance quality worth only 1.7. Hot finishing has been covering for the fact they aren't creating that much. Cagliari have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 1.6 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.3. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Cagliari create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Inter create 1.7 (giving up 1.4) for a balance of +0.3. On the quality of chances, Inter look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Inter are also scoring more than their chances suggest (2.7 goals vs chance quality of 1.7). Both runs could cool off at once. Cagliari are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.6 a game over the last 5 vs 1.3 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Cagliari average 1.4 goals per game and Inter manage 2.7. Combined that's just 4.1. We make it only 8% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Both teams scoring is unlikely here (29%).
Both teams score in 37% of Cagliari's home games and 42% of Inter's away matches. both teams finding the net isn't guaranteed.
Inter have goals in them (2.7 per game) but their record at the back (2.0 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (9%) and 0-1 (5%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Cagliari Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Inter Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Cagliari vs Inter kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:45 in the Serie A.
Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 28.8% probability.