Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction
Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 EFL Cup1188 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Bournemouth 39%
Draw 28%
Aston Villa 33%
The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
The read
Always freeBournemouth have won three straight; Aston Villa have won four straight. The visitors bring the sharper form into this EFL Cup tie.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
5 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The model v the market
Always free| Best price | Implied | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth win | 2.15 | 47% | |
| Draw | 3.50 | 29% | |
| Aston Villa win | 3.10 | 32% | |
| Bournemouth or draw | 1.36 | 74% | |
| Aston Villa or draw | 1.67 | 60% | |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.30 | 77% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 59% | |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 | 62% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.
Every priced market
16 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Since we first priced it
Always freeThe best price when we first priced this game, then the best price now. Drifting means the price got longer, shortening means shorter.
Recent form
Always freeBournemouth
WWWLLW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 11 scored, 7 conceded.
v AC Milan
3-0
Won
v Sunderland
2-0
Won
v SK Sturm Graz
3-0
Won
at Chelsea
1-5
Lost
v Liverpool
0-1
Lost
at Real Sociedad
2-1
Won
Aston Villa
WWWWDW
Last 6, newest first: 5 won, 1 drawn, 0 lost. 17 scored, 6 conceded.
v Manchester City
2-1
Won
v Viking FK
3-1
Won
at Newcastle United
1-0
Won
v Fenerbahce
6-0
Won
v Brentford
2-2
Drew
at Tottenham Hotspur
3-2
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Bournemouth v Aston Villa: the numbers
Always freeBournemouthAston Villa
1.83Scored a game2.12
1.11Conceded a game1.28
1.79xG for a game1.21
33%Clean sheets24%
6%Failed to score20%
61%Both teams scored60%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Bournemouth v Aston Villa: head to head
Always freeBournemouth v Aston Villa
1-1
Aston Villa v Bournemouth
4-0
Bournemouth v Aston Villa
0-1
Aston Villa v Bournemouth
1-1
Aston Villa v Bournemouth
3-1
Bournemouth v Aston Villa
2-2
Aston Villa v Bournemouth
3-0
Bournemouth v Aston Villa
2-0
Bournemouth v Aston Villa
2-1
Aston Villa v Bournemouth
1-2
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: FAQs
Always freeBournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.70. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Bournemouth vs Aston Villa kick off?
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 19:45 UK time (EFL Cup).
What are the best odds for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
The best prices across the books we track: Bournemouth 2.15, the draw 3.50, Aston Villa 3.10. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
What form are Bournemouth and Aston Villa in?
Bournemouth have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W W L L W, newest first), scoring 11 and conceding 7. Aston Villa have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W W W D W, newest first), scoring 17 and conceding 6.
What is the head to head between Bournemouth and Aston Villa?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Bournemouth won 3, Aston Villa won 4 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, 7 Feb 2026, finished Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Sat 24 Oct
Pro single
Utrecht v PEC Zwolle
1.48
Over 2.5 goals (1-1) Lost
-
Sat 24 Oct
Pro single
FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (2-3) Landed
-
Sat 24 Oct
Pro single
Luton v Leicester
1.53
Over 2.5 goals (2-1) Landed
-
Fri 23 Oct
Pro single
Torino v Monza
2.00
Over 2.5 goals (3-2) Landed
-
Thu 22 Oct
Pro single
Monaco v SC Freiburg
1.73
Over 2.5 goals (3-0) Landed
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.