1013 picks, published before kick-off, graded in public

72% of them landed. The ones that did not are on the same page, in the same list, and nothing has ever been deleted. The desk graded 157 researched calls in the last seven days. Pro is the room where each call is researched before it locks, and where the desk is allowed to refuse it.

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Today's calls are being researched now; the sheet is written before the first kick-off.

Then £9.99 a month, cancel any time. The misses are published too, which is the only reason the rest of it counts.

45 winners
Yesterday, of 58 researched calls gradedIn public, the misses included. The week, day by day, below.
45 winners, Sun of 58 35 winners, Sat of 52 2 winners, Fri of 3 6 winners, Thu of 10 11 winners, Wed of 11 14 winners, Tue of 16 5 winners, Mon of 7
The desk's last week, day by day. The full archive is on the desk.
The whole site in under ninety seconds: the record, what is free, and what Pro opens.

What Pro opens

The rooms behind the record, all live now.

Wednesday 9 September: the Telegram slip, three legs at 4.45, all three landed
The daily sheet One sheet every morning: the legs the research kept, the reason on each, and the ones it refused with the reason written down. Locked before kick-off, graded at full time, kept for good, wins and losses alike. Pictured: Wednesday 9 September, three legs at 4.45, all three in. See the sheet.
The research desk 541 fixtures covered right now. Each card: the pattern behind every leg, named team news from the day's reporting, and a verdict that upgrades or kills the model's call.
The desk's verdict on every row Our number is on every fixture for everyone. Members get the research desk's call beside it: upgraded, downgraded or killed, with the reason.
A slip built on every fixture A ready-made same-game slip for every game we price, four days out, priced from real bookmaker odds. Built for you rather than by you.
Ask the model, without limit It builds a fold from this week's board and answers with the dates and the prices.
Last man standing Every side ranked safest first, with the model's number on each pick, next weekend included for planning.
Fantasy, priced Form, price, ownership and the model's number on every fixture, plus the captain call.
The site-wide slip Build across every page, then take the finished slip to your own bookmaker.
The audit room The record split open by market and league, the benched lanes included, the misses counted.

From the desk today

A real card from today's desk. Safe means short-priced and heavily filtered. Every leg can still lose.

“Three shaky underdogs, three favourites with genuine cracks in the opposition - the receipts back every leg.”

Alaves have won all three of their home league games this season and Valencia arrive with four straight losses and no home win at Mendizorroza since 2017.

Bristol City are unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games (L W W W D), while Lincoln's only listed away form result is a single win.

Members read every card in full.

What winning looks like

Desk cards that landed, picked from the archive. The misses live there too.

Le Mans v Lens Won
Over 1.5 goals

Lens arrive shorn of centre-backs but Le Mans still have not won a Ligue 1 game, that gap decides this one

Levante v Barcelona Won
Away Win (Barcelona)

Barcelona's defence has conceded twice in four games, Levante's front line is toothless, backing goals over BTTS is the honest read

Manchester United v Manchester City Won
Manchester City to win / Over 2.5 goals

City's absentee sheet reads Doku only, United's reads four names, and United have leaked two goals in each league game

One card, opened for everyone

Luton v Stockport County, written before kick-off on 2 September. It finished 2-0: the call landed, and both legs the desk killed lost.

“Luton's leaky back line meets Stockport's hot scoring run, so backing the home banker outright is a stretch.”

HOLD Double Chance: Luton or Draw
MEDIUM Double Chance: Luton or Draw 1.36

Model rates this at 70% and it is priced at 1.36 on our board, with the no-draw line sitting even higher at 77%. Luton sit 3rd with 4 points from 2 League One matches per Fotmob, giving a base of quality at Kenilworth Road.

MEDIUM Over 2.5 Goals 1.69

Model prices this at 58% @1.69. The team news supports it directly: Luton have conceded 10 goals in three league games and were beaten 5-2 by Mansfield, while Stockport have scored 16 goals in five competitive matches and won 5-1 last time out.

KILLED Stockport County to win 2.90

This is the trap a form-chaser takes off the back of Stockport's 5-1 win over Wycombe and their new manager bounce. Model only gives it 37% @3.00 fair value, meaning 2.90 is below our own number, and away win bets are benched on our ledger regardless of price.

KILLED BTTS Yes 1.55

Model has BTTS Yes at 55% against a market price of 1.56, essentially the model's own number. Both sides have scoring and conceding form to support it, Stockport with 16 goals in five games and Luton having shipped 10 in three league matches.

Team news that morning No specific injury or suspension names surfaced for this exact fixture in the search. Confirmed context: Luton were thrashed 5-2 at Mansfield and were knocked out of the Carabao Cup 2-0 at Chelsea, while Stockport, now under new head coach Jim McNulty, are riding a 5-1 win over Wycombe. Treat both squads as at full strength unless later news breaks; nothing solid on individual absences was found.

A card like this exists for every fixture the board covers, before it kicks off.

Free v Pro

A visitor always sees the call and the market's price. The model's number and the desk's reasons are what you pay for.

WhereFreeFBB Pro
Today's buildThe day's builds with each leg named and pricedThe combined chance and price on each, and the days ahead
Every fixtureKick-off, form, prices, the call, and our number on every rowThe desk's verdict beside it, and a same-game slip already built
A match pageThe written read, the call, every priced marketThe model against the market, the built slip, the research card
The model's boardToday's calls, priced, with the receipt beside themEvery call in full, and the desk's verdict on each
The bet builderBuild any slip you like from the day's fixtures, at the real pricesA same-game slip already built on every fixture, with its combined price and the chance every leg lands
The accasThe banker acca and the Saturday acca, with each leg, our number and the resultThe combined price and chance on each, and the legs the desk refused
The morning sheetEach slip's shape and whether it landedEvery leg with its reason, and the refusals with theirs
Tips pagesEvery fixture rated, our number and the best priceThe same-game slip built on each one, and the desk's read
Last man standing and fantasyThe first three of each listEvery side with its number, next weekend, every list in full
Ask the modelFive questions a dayWithout limit
The recordEvery pick, nothing deleted, alwaysThe 35 leagues and markets still in testing, each with its graded count and what it still needs

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We never publish a precise confidence above 80% because that is where our own record stops supporting it. Every number on this page is the live model, not marketing.

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