Liverpool crestChelsea crest

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

Wednesday 28 October 2026, 20:00 EFL Cup

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1107 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Liverpool crestLiverpool 37% Draw 27% Chelsea crestChelsea 37%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Liverpool have won three of their last five; Chelsea have taken 7 points from their last five. Form gives little away going into this EFL Cup tie.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.67Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.67

One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1

The model v the market

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Best priceImplied
Liverpool win 2.25 44%
Draw 3.60 28%
Chelsea win 2.90 34%
Liverpool or draw 1.40 71%
Chelsea or draw 1.62 62%
Either side to win, no draw 1.28 78%
Over 2.5 goals 1.67 60%
Both teams to score 1.57 64%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

Model numbers are published only on leagues where our graded record supports them. Here the market's prices stand alone.

The shadow model's number on every market here, labelled as information and never on the record. In FBB Pro.

Every priced market

11 markets
Over 0.5 second half goals 1xBet 1.18
Over 1.5 goals Bet365 1.20
Liverpool over 0.5 goals 1xBet 1.19
Liverpool under 2.5 goals 1xBet 1.20
Chelsea under 2 goals 1xBet 1.22
Under 4 goals 1xBet 1.23
Under 2.5 second half goals 1xBet 1.25
Chelsea over 0.5 goals 1xBet 1.27
Liverpool or Chelsea (double chance) Bet365 1.28
Over 0.5 first half goals 1xBet 1.29
Liverpool or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.40

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Liverpool crestLiverpool LWWDWW

Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost. 8 scored, 5 conceded.

Sun 11 Oct Manchester City crestv Manchester City 0-3 Lost
Sun 20 Sep AFC Bournemouth crestat AFC Bournemouth 1-0 Won
Tue 15 Sep Tottenham Hotspur crestv Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep Fulham crestv Fulham 0-0 Drew
Wed 9 Sep Atlético Madrid crestv Atlético Madrid 2-1 Won
Fri 4 Sep Ipswich Town crestat Ipswich Town 2-0 Won
Chelsea crestChelsea WLDWLW

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 18 scored, 14 conceded.

Sat 10 Oct AFC Bournemouth crestv AFC Bournemouth 5-1 Won
Fri 18 Sep Brentford crestat Brentford 0-3 Lost
Sat 12 Sep Hull City crestv Hull City 2-2 Drew
Wed 9 Sep Leeds United crestv Leeds United 6-3 Won
Sun 6 Sep Arsenal crestat Arsenal 1-2 Lost
Sun 30 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion crestv Brighton & Hove Albion 4-3 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Liverpool v Chelsea: the numbers

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Liverpool crestLiverpoolChelsea crestChelsea 1.39Scored a game2.00 1.56Conceded a game1.72 1.56xG for a game1.41 22%Clean sheets17% 28%Failed to score28% 56%Both teams scored56%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Liverpool v Chelsea: head to head

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Liverpool won 3 5 draws Chelsea won 2
2.0 goals a game 6/10 both scored 4/10 over 2.5
9 May 2026 Liverpool crestChelsea crestLiverpool v Chelsea 1-1
4 Oct 2025 Chelsea crestLiverpool crestChelsea v Liverpool 2-1
4 May 2025 Chelsea crestLiverpool crestChelsea v Liverpool 3-1
20 Oct 2024 Liverpool crestChelsea crestLiverpool v Chelsea 2-1
25 Feb 2024 Chelsea crestLiverpool crestChelsea v Liverpool 0-1
31 Jan 2024 Liverpool crestChelsea crestLiverpool v Chelsea 4-1
13 Aug 2023 Chelsea crestLiverpool crestChelsea v Liverpool 1-1
4 Apr 2023 Chelsea crestLiverpool crestChelsea v Liverpool 0-0
21 Jan 2023 Liverpool crestChelsea crestLiverpool v Chelsea 0-0
14 May 2022 Chelsea crestLiverpool crestChelsea v Liverpool 0-0

Liverpool vs Chelsea: FAQs

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Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Liverpool vs Chelsea kick off?

Liverpool vs Chelsea kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time (EFL Cup).

What are the best odds for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

The best prices across the books we track: Liverpool 2.25, the draw 3.60, Chelsea 2.90. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Liverpool and Chelsea in?

Liverpool have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 (L W W D W W, newest first), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Chelsea have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W L D W L W, newest first), scoring 18 and conceding 14.

What is the head to head between Liverpool and Chelsea?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Liverpool won 3, Chelsea won 2 and 5 were drawn. The most recent, 9 May 2026, finished Liverpool 1-1 Chelsea.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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