01The read
Can Lincoln Get the Job Done at Blackpool?
The model makes Lincoln 45% favourites here. Blackpool carry the 28% upset.
Blackpool are unbeaten in their last five; Lincoln have lost their last two. The momentum is with the hosts going into this EFL Cup tie.
Key facts
🧤
Defensive Wall
Blackpool keep clean sheets in 50% of games. One of the tightest defences around
📉
Cold Run
Lincoln have lost their last 2. Confidence in that dressing room will be low
⚽
Open Games
Both teams score in 71% of Lincoln's matches this season
🎯
Goals Lean
We make it 55% for three or more goals in this one
▸ Form & goals
Goals look likely here. Blackpool average 1.5 per game (1.5 at home) and Lincoln chip in with 2.0 (2.0 away). Defensively, Blackpool concede 0.5 at home and Lincoln leak 1.6 on the road. We make it 55% for three or more goals. The numbers back it without being overwhelming. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%.
▸ Team news & context
Blackpool do it the hard way: only 1.5 a game up top, but a mean 0.5 conceded. They're a tough nut to crack: they soak up pressure and hit you on the break. Lincoln have goals in them (2.0 per game) but their record at the back (1.6 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.
▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half
First Half Result
-
Blackpool HT
4.00
-
Draw HT
2.25
-
Lincoln HT
2.38
Latest News
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Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
Blackpool vs Lincoln Odds Comparison
| Market |
Selection |
Odds |
Probability |
Bookmaker |
| Match Result |
Blackpool Win |
@3.60
|
27.7% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Draw |
@3.30
|
27.4% |
William Hill |
| Match Result |
Lincoln Win |
@1.91
|
44.9% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
Yes |
@1.70
|
52.8% |
William Hill |
| BTTS |
No |
@2.05
|
47.2% |
William Hill |
| Goals |
Over 2.5 |
@1.80
|
55.4% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 2.5 |
@2.06
|
44.6% |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 1.5 |
@1.22
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 1.5 |
@4.00
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Over 3.5 |
@2.75
|
- |
Bet365 |
| Goals |
Under 3.5 |
@1.40
|
- |
Bet365 |
05The numbers
Most Likely Scorelines
MOST LIKELY
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
3-2
2.9%
2-3
2.4%
Full Market Breakdown
Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own
numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Market singles 12 priced markets
-
Over 6.5 corners
84%
@1.19
Unibet
-
Under 2.5 second half goals
83%
@1.25
Betano
-
Over 0.5 second half goals
83%
@1.22
Betano
-
Lincoln under 2.5 goals
83%
@1.25
Bet365
-
Over 1.5 goals
83%
@1.26
BetVictor
-
Blackpool or Lincoln (double chance)
83%
@1.31
Marathon Bet
-
Lincoln or Draw (double chance)
82%
@1.32
Betano
-
Over 7.5 corners
79%
@1.34
Unibet
-
Over 0.5 first half goals
77%
@1.40
Betano
-
Blackpool over 0.5 goals
77%
@1.40
Bet365
-
Over 2 goals
77%
@1.37
BetVictor
-
Blackpool under 5.5 corners
76%
@1.32
Unibet
Build a slip from these markets →