St. Louis City vs Toronto FC Bet Builder Tip
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
Our Model's Picks
Live bookie odds · verified record coming soonMore to Build With
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer Form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
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M. Hartel St. Louis CityShots on Target 1+ 82%
M. Hartel averages 1.56 SoT/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.72, P(1+)=82% P(2+)=51%
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S. Becher St. Louis CityShots on Target 1+ 61%
S. Becher averages 0.86 SoT/match (22 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.95, P(1+)=61% P(2+)=25%
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D. Sallói Toronto FCShots on Target 1+ 58%
D. Sallói averages 0.95 SoT/match (22 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.86, P(1+)=58% P(2+)=21%
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M. Hartel St. Louis CityShots on Target 2+ 51%
M. Hartel averages 1.56 SoT/match (16 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.72, P(1+)=82% P(2+)=51%
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J. Sargent Toronto FCShots on Target 1+ 48%
J. Sargent averages 0.73 SoT/match (15 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.66, P(1+)=48% P(2+)=14%
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C. Durkin St. Louis CityTo Be Carded 43%
C. Durkin (Midfielder) on 0.47 yellows/match (19 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.57, P(carded)=43%
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Rafael Santos St. Louis CityShots on Target 1+ 42%
Rafael Santos averages 0.50 SoT/match (14 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.55, P(1+)=42% P(2+)=11%
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J. Osorio Toronto FCTo Be Carded 39%
J. Osorio (Midfielder) on 0.41 yellows/match (17 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.49, P(carded)=39%
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D. Etienne Toronto FCShots on Target 1+ 38%
D. Etienne averages 0.53 SoT/match (17 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.48, P(1+)=38% P(2+)=8%
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
How is this built?
This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.
View our full verified track record → | Full match preview →