Free Championship predictions: the model's favourite on every fixture with the best price beside it, and the model's calls graded on the public record, misses included.
12 Championship matches from Friday 9 October
The model's number is free on every game. FBB Pro adds the desk's grade on every market and the singles we'd pick ourselves. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org
West Bromwich Albion 5th LDWWD 12:30 38% West Bromwich Albion 2.25 Birmingham City 10th DWLDD Sheffield United 18th LWLWD 15:00 48% Sheffield United 2.00 Lincoln City 12th WLDDW Watford 20th LLWLL 15:00 47% Burnley 2.20 Burnley 24th DLDLD Bolton Wanderers 15th WLLLL 15:00 47% Bolton Wanderers 2.50 Stoke City 7th WDWWL Preston North End 23rd LLWLL 15:00 44% Millwall 2.40 Millwall 11th DDLLW Blackburn Rovers 16th WLLDL 15:00 44% Cardiff City 2.45 Cardiff City 21st LDLLD Derby County 22nd DLLLW 15:00 44% Wrexham AFC 2.50 Wrexham AFC 14th WLDDW Middlesbrough 3rd DDWLW 15:00 42% Middlesbrough 2.20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 4th WLWDLThe Championship is where prediction models earn their stripes. Forty-six matches a season, midweek doubleheaders, and a level of squad turnover that breaks any model still trained on last year's xG. We rebuild form weighting after the international breaks and recalibrate promotion-chasers separately from mid-table sides. The lift in xG a fortnight after a manager change is one of the few patterns that genuinely repeats here. Odds are tighter than the Premier League: the bookmaker margin on a midweek Norwich-Sunderland is wider, so a short home price has to land more often to pay, whatever the model's number. Below: every Championship fixture in the next seven days, with our match-result probabilities, BTTS, over/under 2.5, and the league form table. Tap any fixture for the full preview: the best price across the UK books we track, who is missing, the form and the head to head. The Championship is also where the model makes the most calls on the site, and every one is graded in public, misses included.
Last 5 results in the league per team. Sorted by form points (W=3, D=1, L=0).
How often each market has landed in the Championship, with an honest read on where the model has a proven record.
| Date | Fixture | Pick | Score | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Burnley v Derby Home/Draw | Home/Draw | 1-1 | Won |
| 19 Sep | Wrexham v Southampton Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 19 Sep | Cardiff v Charlton Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 3-1 | Won |
| 19 Sep | Bristol City v Watford Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 19 Sep | Bristol City v Watford Home/Draw | Home/Draw | 1-0 | Won |
| 16 Sep | Middlesbrough v Millwall Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 2-2 | Won |
| 13 Sep | Sheffield Utd v Wolves Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 0-1 | Lost |
| 12 Sep | Middlesbrough v Norwich Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 4-3 | Won |
| 12 Sep | Southampton v Bristol City Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 4-1 | Won |
| 12 Sep | Bolton v Cardiff Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 1-0 | Lost |
| 12 Sep | West Ham v Wrexham Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 6-0 | Won |
| 10 Sep | Norwich v Birmingham Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 2-1 | Won |
| 10 Sep | Charlton v QPR Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 0-0 | Lost |
| 9 Sep | Southampton v Swansea Home/Draw | Home/Draw | 3-1 | Won |
| 9 Sep | Bolton v West Ham Over 1.5 | Over 1.5 | 2-3 | Won |
Every Championship call the model makes is logged before kick-off and graded win or loss on the public record, misses included. The record link on this page opens it, with the full settled history on the track record page. The Championship is our highest-volume coverage so the sample size is typically the largest of any league on the site.
Yes, every Championship fixture in the upcoming seven days is on this page, including Tuesday and Wednesday rounds. The model treats midweek matches with a slightly higher rotation-risk weighting.
Yes, statistically. Squad turnover is wider, underlying-numbers coverage is sparser, and the over-round on Championship matches sits wider than the top flight. A short price has to land more often to pay, so we read Championship favourites with care.
Promotion-chasers in the final third of the season are often short-priced favourites, and a short price has to land more often to pay. The model's number sits beside the price so you can weigh the two.
Yes, every league fixture is covered as it falls inside our seven-day forward window. We also cover Championship play-off matches and any FA Cup or EFL Cup ties involving Championship sides on the relevant league pages.
The over/under 2.5 goals market has historically delivered the steadiest hit rate for Championship coverage on this site. 1X2 calls show more variance because favourites convert at a lower rate than the top-flight equivalent.
Our model reads the prices of the UK bookmakers we track, the form and the head to head to produce Championship predictions. Every fixture shows the best price we can find beside the model's number, on the match result, both teams to score, the goals lines and more.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.