Daily Themed Acca

Goal Rush Acca

For Saturday 29 August

We score every Over 1.5, Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score Yes pick across today's fixtures and select the strongest 5 by model probability.

Legs
5
Combined Prob
32.3%
Combined Fair Odds
@3.10

Today's Picks

We blend the day's strongest Over 1.5 / Over 2.5 / BTTS Yes picks above 55%, capped at 2 legs per match. This 5-leg combo lands at ~32.3% combined on the bookmakers' fair odds (~3.10). Combined probability assumes legs are independent, in practice legs within the same match are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide. Includes leagues we're still building a verified record on.

How is this built?

Goals probability comes from team xG, season scoring/conceding rates, head-to-head goal averages, recent form, and lineup strength (when confirmed XIs are available). Only picks above 65% probability are eligible. Capped at 2 legs per match so the acca diversifies across the day's strongest games rather than tripling up on one fixture.

Combined probability assumes the legs are independent, in reality picks within the same fixture are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide rather than a precise figure. This acca includes leagues we are still building a verified record on, so these legs are the model's read on the bookmakers' odds rather than tracked picks.

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