Daily Themed Acca

Goal Rush Acca

For Tuesday 13 October

We score every Over 1.5, Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score Yes pick across today's fixtures and select the strongest 5 by model probability.

Legs
5
Combined Prob
34.0%
Combined Fair Odds
@2.94

Today's Picks

Viking vs Bayern München: Over 2.5 Goals 80%+ ≈1.16
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00

Avg 4.5 goals/game expected.
Wolves vs Bolton: Over 1.5 Goals 80%+ ≈1.24
Tue 13 Oct, 19:45

Avg 3.2 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.
Lincoln vs West Ham: Over 1.5 Goals 79% ≈1.26
Wed 14 Oct, 20:00

Avg 2.9 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.
Galatasaray vs Barcelona: Over 2.5 Goals 79% ≈1.27
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00

Avg 5.0 goals/game expected.
Villarreal vs Napoli: Over 1.5 Goals 79% ≈1.27
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00

Avg 3.0 goals/game expected. Over 1.5 highly likely in high-scoring fixture.
We blend the day's strongest Over 1.5 / Over 2.5 / BTTS Yes picks above 55%, capped at 2 legs per match. Our model rates this 5-leg combo at 34.0% combined (fair odds ~2.94). Combined probability assumes legs are independent, in practice player legs within the same match are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide. Every prediction is logged on our track-record page.

How is this built?

Goals probability comes from team xG, season scoring/conceding rates, head-to-head goal averages, recent form, and lineup strength (when confirmed XIs are available). Only picks above 65% probability are eligible. Capped at 2 legs per match so the acca diversifies across the day's strongest games rather than tripling up on one fixture.

Combined probability assumes the legs are independent, in reality picks within the same fixture are mildly correlated, so treat the combined as a guide rather than a precise figure. Every prediction is logged on our track record page.

Other daily accas today

4 legs
Shots on Target Acca
2 legs
Booking Acca
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.