Thursday's singles
Thursday 22 October · locked before kick-off, graded after
Thursday's singles. Each one passes three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. One unit each, locked before kick-off, graded after.
The singles 1 single, one unit locked Mon 19 Oct, 19:00
Landed in 9 of the two sides' last 12 games.
Model: clears the break-even.
The desk: Monaco's defense is gutted: keeper Hradecky and three first-choice centre-backs plus a full-back are all out, with Fati a lingering doubt. Named doubts: Lukas Hradecky (out), Mohammed Salisu (out).
Backed Monaco's top scorer Paris Brunner is back from suspension in red-hot form, and both sides have gone over the line in almost all of their last six games combined, which outweighs the pack's stale injury read.
The case against
- The pack listed Brunner as suspended, but he actually served his ban before the Lorient game and is free again for Freiburg, so this is a correction in the bet's favour rather than a warning, though it shows the pack's team news can be stale.
- SC Freiburg have a player, Y. Suzuki, suspended after a red card, but his role and attacking importance could not be confirmed, so this is noted only as an unresolved uncertainty rather than a counted warning.
- Eric Dier and Stanis Idumbo are out for Monaco, but both are a defensive midfielder and a squad midfielder with minimal scoring output this season, so their absence is more likely to loosen Monaco's defence than cut their attack.
Missing: Eric Dier (Monaco): He is a defensive-minded player, not a scoring source, so his absence from the back line is more likely to help the over than hurt it.; Stanis Idumbo (Monaco): A squad midfielder with only one goal this season, his absence removes depth but not a scoring threat.
The punt 3 bets, half a unit each
The fun bet: both teams to score, half a unit, never counted in the singles' record.
Days ahead the next day, locked
Singles already published for the days to come. Locked when written: the selections never change, only the live price beside them.
26 days on the record
Every sheet stays in the archive, the days with no single included. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.