Saturday's singles

Written ahead

Saturday 3 October · locked before kick-off, graded after

Saturday's singles. Each one passes three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. One unit each, locked before kick-off, graded after.

The singles 2 singles, one unit each locked 19:00

Pick of the day
Accrington Stanley v Cheltenham Free
kick-off 15:00 · League Two
Over 2.5 1.75 at Bet365 locked at 1.75

Landed in 9 of the two sides' last 12 games.

Model: clears the break-even.

The desk: Accrington's main goal threat is confirmed out; nothing solid turned up on a fresh Cheltenham absence in the last 48 hours, so none is named. Named doubts: Charlie Caton (out injured).

Caution Cheltenham's new manager bounce and Accrington's leaky defence support the over, but a real head to head unders trend and Accrington's recent dip in games are worth flagging.

The case against

  • Three of the last five head to head meetings between these two, all in the same competition, finished under the line, a pattern the pack itself flags.
  • Accrington's most recent league outing was a low scoring 1-1 draw with Swindon, and two of their last three games in the pack's own form line were under the total, showing their goal supply has been inconsistent just before this game.
Southend v AFC Fylde
kick-off 15:00 · National League
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The punt 3 bets, half a unit each

The fun bet: both teams to score, half a unit, never counted in the singles' record.

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Both teams to score
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Both teams to score
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Both teams to score
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4 days on the record
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