Liverpool crestManchester United crest

Liverpool v Manchester United bet builder

Sunday 22 November 2026, 16:30 · Premier League

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

The model's build

On the record

  • Liverpool or draw

    78% the model

    Record this market has landed 82% across 340 graded picks

    Our board prices this at 78%, the same number shown on the homepage and previews. (API-Football's own model has it at 90%.)

    1.29 +

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    58% the model

    Record this market has landed 64% across 120 graded picks

    Goals: the sides' goal rates read 1.50 and 1.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 58%.

    1.73 +
Combined fair odds2 legs, 45% chance all land
2.23

The model puts this 2-leg build at 45% combined for Liverpool v Manchester United. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.

Alternative picks

  • Under 4.5 Goals 76% 1.24 +
  • Under 3.5 Goals 60% 1.54 +
  • Manchester United or Draw Double Chance 52% 2.00 +
  • Liverpool Home Win 51% 1.83 +

More to build with

Extra markets · not tracked

Player form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • Víctor Muñoz Liverpool
    Shots on target 1+

    Víctor Muñoz: 0.63 shots on target a game over 8 games, home against a side conceding 4.5 a game

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

Match stats

Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.

  • Over 9.5 Match Corners 54%
    Corners: Liverpool avg 6.7 for/4.3 against, Manchester United avg 5.3 for/3.7 against so expected 10.0 match corners
  • Over 7.5 Match Corners 78%
    Corners: Liverpool avg 6.7 for/4.3 against, Manchester United avg 5.3 for/3.7 against so expected 10.0 match corners; the safer line
  • Over 3.5 Match Cards 55%
    Cards: Liverpool avg 1.7/game, Manchester United avg 2.2/game so expected 3.9 match cards
  • Over 2.5 Match Cards 75%
    Cards: Liverpool avg 1.7/game, Manchester United avg 2.2/game so expected 3.9 match cards; the safer line
  • Over 22.5 Match Fouls 56%
    Fouls: Liverpool avg 12.5/game, Manchester United avg 10.9/game so expected 23.4 match fouls
  • Over 18.5 Match Fouls 80%+
    Fouls: Liverpool avg 12.5/game, Manchester United avg 10.9/game so expected 23.4 match fouls; the safer line
  • Over 26.5 Match Shots 77%
    Shots: Liverpool avg 15.1/game, Manchester United avg 15.5/game so expected 30.6 match shots
  • Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+
    Shots: Liverpool avg 15.1/game, Manchester United avg 15.5/game so expected 30.6 match shots; the safer line

How this is built

The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.

The record The match page

The market's own prices

Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles

  • Liverpool or Draw (double chance) 84% market BetVictor
    1.25 +
  • Liverpool or Manchester United (double chance) 84% market Bet365
    1.25 +
  • Over 2 goals 81% market Pinnacle
    1.27 +
  • Under 4 goals 81% market Pinnacle
    1.28 +
  • Under 2 first half goals 81% market Marathon Bet
    1.24 +
  • Over 0.5 first half goals 80% market BetVictor
    1.29 +
  • Under 2.5 second half goals 79% market Bet365
    1.28 +
  • Over 1 second half goals 79% market Marathon Bet
    1.27 +
  • Manchester United over 0.5 goals 76% market Bet365
    1.33 +
  • Liverpool under 2.5 goals 75% market Bet365
    1.36 +
  • Manchester United under 1.5 goals 69% market Bet365
    1.44 +

More fixtures

All previews ›
Premier League Crystal Palace crestLiverpool crestCrystal Palace vs Liverpool Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League Ipswich crestBournemouth crestIpswich vs Bournemouth Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League Sunderland crestChelsea crestSunderland vs Chelsea Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League Brighton crestBrentford crestBrighton vs Brentford Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Premier League Manchester United crestAston Villa crestManchester United vs Aston Villa Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas crestClub America crestU.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club America Sun 8 Nov, 03:10
Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.