Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30 Bundesliga

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1057 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Union Berlin 16% Draw 24% Borussia Dortmund 61%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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Union Berlin (17th, 1 pts) face the unenviable task of hosting in-form Borussia Dortmund (1st, 12 pts). The gap in quality should tell, but home advantage can be a great leveller.

We lean towards Borussia Dortmund. The edge is there but not overwhelming, so a stake-back-on-a-draw option is worth a thought for an acca.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.40Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.40

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Union Berlin win 16% 6.00 17%
Draw 24% 4.75 21%
Borussia Dortmund win 61% 1.44 69%
Union Berlin or draw 40% 2.75 36%
Borussia Dortmund or draw 1.12 89%
Either side to win, no draw 1.18 85%
Over 2.5 goals 72% 1.40 71%
Both teams to score 58% 1.57 64%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund (double chance) William Hill 1.18
Over 0.5 first half goals William Hill 1.20
Under 2.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Borussia Dortmund under 3.5 goals 1xBet 1.24
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 1xBet 1.34
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.35
Union Berlin under 1.5 goals 1xBet 1.37
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.40
Borussia Dortmund to win William Hill 1.44
Union Berlin over 0.5 goals 1xBet 1.44
Under 4 goals 1xBet 1.46

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Union Berlin LL

Last 2, newest first: 0 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 1 scored, 10 conceded.

Fri 18 Sep at Bayern Munchen 0-7 Lost
Fri 11 Sep v Fc Schalke 04 1-3 Lost
Borussia Dortmund WWWWW

Last 5, newest first: 5 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost. 12 scored, 4 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep at vfb stuttgart 1-0 Won
Sat 12 Sep v SC Paderborn 07 3-0 Won
Tue 8 Sep v Villarreal 3-2 Won
Sat 5 Sep at tsg hoffenheim 3-2 Won
Sat 29 Aug v Hamburg SV 2-0 Won

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund: the numbers

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Union BerlinBorussia Dortmund 17League position1 0-1-3League record, won-drawn-lost4-0-0 4-17Goals for and against9-2 1Points12 0-1-1Home record v away record2-0-0 1.00Scored a game2.25 4.25Conceded a game0.50 com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@2ab90aeexG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@3c2b4ea5 21%Clean sheets44% 24%Failed to score6% 62%Both teams scored50%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund: head to head

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Union Berlin won 2 0 draws Borussia Dortmund won 8
3.7 goals a game 4/10 both scored 8/10 over 2.5
24 Jan 2026 Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund 0-3
31 Aug 2025 Borussia Dortmund v Union Berlin 3-0
22 Feb 2025 Borussia Dortmund v Union Berlin 6-0
5 Oct 2024 Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund 2-1
2 Mar 2024 Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund 0-2
7 Oct 2023 Borussia Dortmund v Union Berlin 4-2
8 Apr 2023 Borussia Dortmund v Union Berlin 2-1
16 Oct 2022 Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund 2-0
13 Feb 2022 Union Berlin v Borussia Dortmund 0-3
19 Sep 2021 Borussia Dortmund v Union Berlin 4-2

Likely scorelines

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0-310% 0-48% 1-38% 1-27% 1-46% 0-56%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: FAQs

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Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga).

What are the best odds for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

The best prices across the books we track: Union Berlin 6.00, the draw 4.75, Borussia Dortmund 1.44. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund in?

Union Berlin have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 (L L, newest first), scoring 1 and conceding 10. Borussia Dortmund have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 (W W W W W, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 4.

What is the head to head between Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Union Berlin won 2, Borussia Dortmund won 8 and 0 were drawn. The most recent, 24 Jan 2026, finished Union Berlin 0-3 Borussia Dortmund.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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