Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30 Bundesliga

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1057 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Hamburger SV 20% Draw 25% VfB Stuttgart 55%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

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A Bundesliga clash between two sides separated by just 1 place in the table. Hamburger SV (16th, 3 pts) and VfB Stuttgart (15th, 3 pts) both have plenty to play for.

The data leans towards VfB Stuttgart, but there's enough doubt to stay careful. Hamburger SV have the tools to make this uncomfortable.

The model says

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The call on this game Over 2.5 Goals
The best price 1.44Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.44

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The model v the market

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Match modelBest priceImplied
Hamburger SV win 20% 4.20 24%
Draw 25% 4.20 24%
VfB Stuttgart win 55% 1.70 59%
Hamburger SV or draw 48% 2.15 47%
VfB Stuttgart or draw 77% 1.22 82%
Either side to win, no draw 1.22 82%
Over 2.5 goals 70% 1.44 69%
Both teams to score 66% 1.44 69%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Hamburger SV under 2 goals 1xBet 1.18
Under 2.5 first half goals William Hill 1.22
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.22
Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart (double chance) William Hill 1.22
VfB Stuttgart or Draw (double chance) William Hill 1.22
Hamburger SV over 0.5 goals 1xBet 1.30
Under 4.5 goals Bet365 1.33
Under 2.5 second half goals William Hill 1.36
Over 2.5 goals Bet365 1.44
Both teams to score: Yes William Hill 1.44
VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals 1xBet 1.45
Under 4 goals 1xBet 1.46

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

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Hamburger SV WLL

Last 3, newest first: 1 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 2 scored, 11 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep v 1 fc koln 2-1 Won
Sun 13 Sep at rb leipzig 0-5 Lost
Sun 6 Sep v Fsv Mainz 05 0-5 Lost
VfB Stuttgart LLWWL

Last 5, newest first: 2 won, 0 drawn, 3 lost. 9 scored, 10 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep v Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Lost
Sat 12 Sep at tsg hoffenheim 1-2 Lost
Wed 9 Sep v Viking FK 3-1 Won
Fri 4 Sep v FC Cologne 4-1 Won
Fri 28 Aug at bayern munich 1-5 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart: the numbers

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Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart 16League position15 1-0-3League record, won-drawn-lost1-0-3 2-13Goals for and against6-9 3Points3 1-0-1Home record v away record0-0-2 0.50Scored a game1.50 3.25Conceded a game2.25 com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@39993e94xG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@2269e315 18%Clean sheets32% 29%Failed to score9% 65%Both teams scored62%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart: head to head

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Hamburger SV won 3 1 draw VfB Stuttgart won 6
4.1 goals a game 8/10 both scored 9/10 over 2.5
12 Apr 2026 VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV 4-0
30 Nov 2025 Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart 2-1
5 Jun 2023 Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart 1-3
1 Jun 2023 VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV 3-0
26 Aug 2020 VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV 3-2
28 May 2020 VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV 3-2
29 Oct 2019 Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart 1-2
26 Oct 2019 Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart 6-2
31 Mar 2018 VfB Stuttgart v Hamburger SV 1-1
4 Nov 2017 Hamburger SV v VfB Stuttgart 3-1

Likely scorelines

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1-29% 1-37% 0-35% 2-35% 1-44% 0-43%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: FAQs

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Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.44. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 UK time (Bundesliga).

What are the best odds for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

The best prices across the books we track: Hamburger SV 4.20, the draw 4.20, VfB Stuttgart 1.70. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart in?

Hamburger SV have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 (W L L, newest first), scoring 2 and conceding 11. VfB Stuttgart have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 (L L W W L, newest first), scoring 9 and conceding 10.

What is the head to head between Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart?

In their last 10 meetings on our record, Hamburger SV won 3, VfB Stuttgart won 6 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 12 Apr 2026, finished VfB Stuttgart 4-0 Hamburger SV.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

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The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

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