Who is favourite to win SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model rates Bayer Leverkusen as the favourite with a 58.7% win probability. The full 1X2 split: SV Elversberg 17.7%, draw 23.6%, Bayer Leverkusen 58.7%.

Where can I watch SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Check official Bundesliga broadcaster listings (Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Premier Sports, BBC, ITV) for live TV coverage. UK streaming details are confirmed by rights holders closer to kickoff.

How many goals are expected in SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model gives Over 2.5 goals a 69.4% probability and Under 2.5 goals 30.6%. The lean is towards a high-scoring game.

70% verified · 810 picks Bundesliga Saturday 29 August 2026, 14:30

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions & Odds

S SV Elversberg 17.7% @5.00

VS Draw 23.6%

B Bayer Leverkusen 58.7% @1.55

Our model call Clear favourites: Bayer Leverkusen A 59% call, draw at 24%.

★★★

Match result modelmarket

SV Elversberg 18% 5.00 Draw 24% 4.33 Bayer Leverkusen 59% 1.55

Goals modelmarket

Under 2.5 31% 2.75 Over 2.5 69% 1.44 Over 1.5 @1.14

Both teams to score modelmarket

No 47% 2.40 Yes 53% 1.57

30+ rated markets on this game, every leg tracked in public Build this bet →

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03Model vs the market

Our Model vs The Market

Where our probabilities disagree with bookmaker prices.

Market	Our model	Bookies imply	Difference
Both Teams to Score	53.2%	66.7%	13 pts under
Bayer Leverkusen Win	58.7%	67.1%	8 pts under
Over 2.5 Goals	69.4%	69.9%	1 pts under

What this means: where our model sits above the bookies is where we see value they don't; below means the market already has it priced, no edge there.

Key Stats

01The read

Neighbours Collide: SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen Separated by Fine Margins

SV Elversberg 18%, the draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 59%. That's the shape of this one.

Bayer Leverkusen slight edge (59%) | Three or more goals likely (69%) | Predicted: 1-2 Confidence ★★★★★

SV Elversberg have won four of their last six; Bayer Leverkusen have taken 7 points from their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this Bundesliga tie.

Our verdict

Bayer Leverkusen shade it at 59%, though SV Elversberg won't be pushovers. If you're building an acca, backing Bayer Leverkusen with your stake back if it's a draw is the safer option.

Our pick

Our PickBayer Leverkusen to win at @1.55. Model probability 59% vs implied 65%. The market is 6pp more bullish than our model, so this is a stability pick, not a value one.

Model59%

Market65%

Key facts

⚽

Open Games Both teams score in 83% of SV Elversberg's matches. Their games rarely stay quiet

▸ Form & goals

Goals look likely here. SV Elversberg average 2.5 per game (2.5 at home) and Bayer Leverkusen chip in with 1.8 (1.8 away). Defensively, SV Elversberg concede 1.2 at home and Bayer Leverkusen leak 1.6 on the road. We make it 69% for three or more goals. One of the stronger cases for goals today. Whether both teams score is a genuine coin-flip, and we make it 53%. Their past meetings back this up. These two average 5.0 goals when they meet, with 2 of the last 2 producing three or more. Two or more goals at @1.14 is a steadier alternative for accas.

Both teams scoring is the pattern. It happens in 83% of SV Elversberg's home games and 65% of Bayer Leverkusen's away matches.

▸ Team news & context

SV Elversberg are all-out attack: 2.5 goals a game, but they leak 1.2 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Bayer Leverkusen, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Bayer Leverkusen have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.6 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end.

In the last 2 meetings: SV Elversberg have won 1, Bayer Leverkusen 1, with 0 draws. These fixtures average 5.0 goals per game. 2 of the last 2 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 SV Elversberg, SV Elversberg 4-3 Bayer Leverkusen.

▸ Other markets: scorelines, scorers, cards & first half

Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (7%) and 1-3 (3%).

First Half Result

SV Elversberg HT 4.60
Draw HT 2.60
Bayer Leverkusen HT 2.00

Team Intel

📊 Bayer Leverkusen · xG

For: 2.56/g Against: 1.92/g

Full odds comparison: every bookmaker, every market

The complete price grid across all bookmakers.

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Odds Comparison

Market	Selection	Odds	Probability	Bookmaker
Match Result	SV Elversberg Win	@5.00	17.7%	William Hill
Match Result	Draw	@4.33	23.6%	William Hill
Match Result	Bayer Leverkusen Win	@1.55	58.7%	William Hill
BTTS	Yes	@1.57	53.2%	William Hill
BTTS	No	@2.40	46.8%	William Hill
Goals	Over 2.5	@1.44	69.4%	Bet365
Goals	Under 2.5	@2.75	30.6%	Bet365
Goals	Over 1.5	@1.14	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 1.5	@6.00	-	Bet365
Goals	Over 3.5	@2.20	-	Bet365
Goals	Under 3.5	@1.73	-	Bet365

05The numbers

Recent Form

SV Elversberg

2W streak 5 unbeaten

Last 6 WWDWWL

Clean sheets 17% BTTS 83%

Bayer Leverkusen

1 unbeaten

Last 5 DLWWL

On the road LW

Clean sheets 24% BTTS 65% FTS 12%

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head

Limited recent meetings (2), too small a sample for a reliable head-to-head split.

1 Home Wins 0 Draws 1 Away Wins

5.0 Avg Goals

1/2 BTTS

2/2 Over 2.5

2024-10-29 SV Elversberg 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

2022-07-30 SV Elversberg 4-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Full SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head history →

Most Likely Scorelines

MOST LIKELY 1-2 6.6%

1-3 3.3%

2-3 3.3%

0-3 1.6%

1-4 1.2%

2-4 1.2%

Full Market Breakdown

Bookmaker prices with the margin still inside — the market's own numbers, not our model. A market priced at 65% still fails about one time in three.

Market singles 12 priced markets

Bayer Leverkusen over 3.5 corners 85% @1.18 Unibet
Over 0.5 first half goals 83% @1.28 Betano
Under 12.5 corners 82% @1.22 Unibet
Over 1 second half goals 81% @1.23 Marathon Bet
Bayer Leverkusen under 3 goals 81% @1.23 Marathon Bet
Over 7.5 corners 81% @1.23 Unibet
Under 4.5 goals 81% @1.28 Bet365
Under 2 first half goals 81% @1.31 Pinnacle
SV Elversberg under 5.5 corners 81% @1.24 Unibet
Under 2.5 second half goals 77% @1.37 Betano
Bayer Leverkusen under 7.5 corners 77% @1.30 Unibet
SV Elversberg over 2.5 corners 75% @1.33 Unibet

Build a slip from these markets →

Build your own bet

Our SV Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen builder

Our model's suggested selections (each one's a "leg"). Tap to build it, then place with your own bookmaker.

1 No Draw 83% @ 1.21
2 Over 2.5 Goals 69% @ 1.44

@1.74 £10 returns £17.42

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The record

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verified hit rate across 810 graded picks, every one logged before kick-off.

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SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: FAQs

Who will win SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite with a 58.7% win probability, based on form, head-to-head record and expected goals.

What are the best odds for SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Best available odds: SV Elversberg @ 5.00, Draw @ 4.33, Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.55. We compare multiple bookmakers to find the best value.

What time does SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen kick off?

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:30 in the Bundesliga.

Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model gives Both Teams to Score (Yes) a 53.2% probability.

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and betting tips?

Our top prediction is Bayer Leverkusen to win. We also rate over/under goals, BTTS, correct score and double chance, every pick is tracked and verified against real outcomes.