St. Louis City vs FC Dallas Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
Get the model's verified verdict on St. Louis City (and any team you follow) emailed the moment odds drop. Free, no spam, one-click unsubscribe.
St. Louis City are unbeaten in their last five; FC Dallas have taken 8 points from their last five. The momentum is with the hosts going into this MLS tie.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
St. Louis City create chances worth 2.0 a game (and give up chances worth 1.8), leaving them +0.2 a game on the balance. FC Dallas create 1.4 (giving up 1.8) for a balance of -0.4. The underlying numbers clearly favour St. Louis City. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
St. Louis City average 1.8 goals per game and FC Dallas manage 1.5. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. St. Louis City and FC Dallas together create chances worth 3.4 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
St. Louis City are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.1 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at FC Dallas, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | St. Louis City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | FC Dallas Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 00:00 in the MLS.