Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga Predictions & Odds
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Neck and neck in the Eliteserien standings. Sarpsborg 08 FF (9th, 41 pts) host Valerenga (6th, 43 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
D. Karlsbakk has been Sarpsborg 08 FF's spearhead, with 6 goals and 0 assists in 17 appearances, averaging 0.88 shots on target per game. L. Haren has been Valerenga's main threat, with 7 goals and 1 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 0.75 shots on target per game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF will be looking to make home advantage count (W5 D4 L6 at home). Valerenga's away record reads W4 D1 L10. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sarpsborg 08 FF create chances worth 1.7 a game (and give up chances worth 2.4), leaving them -0.8 a game on the balance. Valerenga create 1.3 (giving up 2.0) for a balance of -0.7. The chance quality on both sides is remarkably similar. There's nothing to split these two underneath. A worry for Sarpsborg 08 FF: the chances they're creating lately are worth 1.2 a game, well below their 1.7 season figure. The attacking output has dipped.
Sarpsborg 08 FF average 1.6 goals per game and Valerenga manage 1.6. Combined that's just 3.2. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
In the last 10 meetings: Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 2, Valerenga 6, with 2 draws. These fixtures average 3.9 goals per game. 6 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Recent results: Valerenga 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF, Valerenga 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-1 Valerenga.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sarpsborg 08 FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Valerenga Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:00 in the Eliteserien.