Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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A Eliteserien meeting between Tromso (3rd, 57 pts) and Sarpsborg 08 FF (9th, 41 pts). Two sides with their own objectives and plenty to play for.
Tromso will be looking to make home advantage count (W10 D1 L4 at home). Sarpsborg 08 FF's away record reads W6 D4 L5. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. Tromso have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 2.6 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 2.0. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Tromso create chances worth 2.0 a game (and give up chances worth 0.9), leaving them +1.1 a game on the balance. Sarpsborg 08 FF create 1.8 (giving up 2.3) for a balance of -0.6. The underlying numbers clearly favour Tromso. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones. Tromso are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 2.6 a game over the last 5 vs 2.0 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Tromso average 1.7 goals per game and Sarpsborg 08 FF manage 1.6. Combined that's just 3.3. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Tromso and Sarpsborg 08 FF together create chances worth 3.8 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Tromso Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Sarpsborg 08 FF Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.