Sandefjord vs Brann Predictions & Odds
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Neck and neck in the Eliteserien standings. Sandefjord (5th, 48 pts) host Brann (4th, 56 pts) in a contest that promises intensity.
Sandefjord will be looking to make home advantage count (W11 D1 L3 at home). Brann's away record reads W7 D2 L6. The visitors need to start well or this could get away from them. The gap in chance quality is clear: Brann come out at +1.0 a game (chances they create minus chances they give up) compared to -0.1. that's a real edge in the quality of chances. Sandefjord have been even sharper lately. The chances they create are worth 1.9 a game over their last 5 compared to a season average of 1.6. They're creating more as the season goes on.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Sandefjord create chances worth 1.6 a game (and give up chances worth 1.6), leaving them -0.1 a game on the balance. Brann create 1.9 (giving up 0.8) for a balance of +1.0. On the quality of chances, Brann look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Sandefjord are trending upwards. Their chances are worth 1.9 a game over the last 5 vs 1.6 for the season. They're in a real attacking groove.
Sandefjord average 1.8 goals per game and Brann manage 1.8. Combined that's just 3.6. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Sandefjord and Brann together create chances worth 3.5 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
Both sides are in the chasing pack. Sandefjord (5th) and Brann (4th) are still in touch with the playoff places, and a result here matters.
Sandefjord are all-out attack: 1.8 goals a game, but they leak 1.4 at the other end. They'll throw plenty at Brann, but there are gaps at the back for the visitors to get at. Brann have goals in them (1.8 per game) but their record at the back (1.5 conceded) leaves them open. This could be end-to-end. Don't underestimate the visitors. Brann create chances worth 1.9 a game and Sandefjord give up chances worth 1.6 at home. The away side could control the ball here.
Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%) and 2-1 (8%).
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Sandefjord Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Brann Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Sandefjord vs Brann kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 in the Eliteserien.