Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Portland Timbers have won three of their last five; St. Louis City are unbeaten in their last five. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
K. Kelsy has been Portland Timbers's spearhead, with 9 goals and 2 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 0.80 shots on target per game. M. Hartel has been St. Louis City's main threat, with 6 goals and 3 assists in 16 appearances, averaging 1.56 shots on target per game.
Portland Timbers's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Portland Timbers create chances worth 1.3 a game (and give up chances worth 1.9), leaving them -0.6 a game on the balance. St. Louis City create 2.0 (giving up 1.8) for a balance of +0.2. On the quality of chances, St. Louis City look the stronger side. they create more and give up less.
Portland Timbers average 1.3 goals per game and St. Louis City manage 1.7. Combined that's just 3.0. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Portland Timbers and St. Louis City together create chances worth 3.3 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Portland Timbers Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | St. Louis City Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Detailed league stats unavailable for this fixture. Our model uses form and goals data instead. See the writeup below.
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 03:30 in the MLS.