Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
Projections from club-season form only, informational, never recorded or graded, and outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match Stats, informational, not part of our tracked record. Corner, card and foul projections come from each team's real season averages. Build your own bet.
Projected from real team season averages only, informational, and outside our verified record by design, never a tracked pick and never part of the record we publish. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last five; FC Cincinnati have won three of their last five. Form gives little away going into this MLS tie.
M. Iloski has been Philadelphia Union's spearhead, with 10 goals and 2 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 1.33 shots on target per game. Evander has been FC Cincinnati's main threat, with 12 goals and 8 assists in 20 appearances, averaging 1.60 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Philadelphia Union come in on a D-W-W-W-W run, FC Cincinnati have gone W-D-W-L-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Philadelphia Union's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Philadelphia Union create chances worth 1.7 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them +0.3 a game on the balance. FC Cincinnati create 1.4 (giving up 1.9) for a balance of -0.6. The underlying numbers clearly favour Philadelphia Union. They're creating better chances AND giving up fewer good ones.
Philadelphia Union average 1.7 goals per game and FC Cincinnati manage 1.4. Combined that's just 3.1. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game. Interestingly, the chances suggest more goals than the headline number. Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati together create chances worth 3.1 a game. The low figure might be underrating the attacking quality here.
In the last 10 meetings: Philadelphia Union have won 3, FC Cincinnati 6, with 1 draw. These fixtures average 4.0 goals per game. 7 of the last 10 produced 3+ goals. Both teams have scored in most of their recent meetings, so there's a good chance both find the net again. Recent results: FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union, Philadelphia Union 4-1 FC Cincinnati, FC Cincinnati 4-1 Philadelphia Union.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Philadelphia Union Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | FC Cincinnati Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Full Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head history →
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.