Bet Builder · Fixture Tip

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City Bet Builder Tip

Thursday 10 September 2026, 03:30 · MLS

A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+

Our Model's Picks

Live bookie odds · verified record coming soon

Our 2-Leg Bet Builder

61.2% chance all legs land · model probability on each rail

Combined fair odds @1.63
  • Portland Timbers or draw

    ≈1.43

    Probability: 70.0% · Fair odds: 1.43

    API-Football's own advice for this game is double chance, Portland Timbers or draw (70%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.

  • Over 2.5 Goals

    ≈1.14

    Probability: 87.5% · Fair odds: 1.14

    API-Football goals model: expected goals 2.50 + 2.50 → Over 2.5 Goals at 88%.

Built from the bookmakers' fair odds for Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City, 61.2% combined. Legs treated as independent, so treat this as a guide.

More to Build With

Extra markets · not tracked

Player Form

Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.

  • M. Hartel St. Louis City
    Shots on Target 1+ 75%

    M. Hartel averages 1.56 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.41, P(1+)=75% P(2+)=41%

  • K. Velde Portland Timbers
    Shots on Target 1+ 63%

    K. Velde averages 0.90 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.99, P(1+)=63% P(2+)=26%

  • K. Kelsy Portland Timbers
    Shots on Target 1+ 59%

    K. Kelsy averages 0.80 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.88, P(1+)=59% P(2+)=22%

  • S. Becher St. Louis City
    Shots on Target 1+ 50%

    S. Becher averages 0.76 SoT/match (21 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.69, P(1+)=50% P(2+)=15%

  • C. Durkin St. Louis City
    To Be Carded 45%

    C. Durkin (Midfielder) on 0.50 yellows/match (18 apps), pos-mult 1.20 → lambda 0.60, P(carded)=45%

  • C. Bassett Portland Timbers
    Shots on Target 1+ 44%

    C. Bassett averages 0.53 SoT/match (17 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.58, P(1+)=44% P(2+)=12%

  • David Pereira da Costa Portland Timbers
    Shots on Target 1+ 42%

    David Pereira da Costa averages 0.50 SoT/match (18 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.55, P(1+)=42% P(2+)=11%

  • M. Hartel St. Louis City
    Shots on Target 2+ 41%

    M. Hartel averages 1.56 SoT/match (16 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 1.41, P(1+)=75% P(2+)=41%

  • Rafael Santos St. Louis City
    Shots on Target 1+ 36%

    Rafael Santos averages 0.50 SoT/match (14 apps), away vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.45, P(1+)=36% P(2+)=8%

  • Antony Portland Timbers
    Shots on Target 1+ 36%

    Antony averages 0.40 SoT/match (20 apps), home vs opp conceding 4.5 SoT/game → lambda 0.44, P(1+)=36% P(2+)=7%

Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.

How is this built?

This bet builder is auto-generated by our football model across hundreds of weekly picks. Every leg is a team market (match result, goals, BTTS). Each leg shows the model's probability alongside the fair odds, so you can see exactly where we think the edge is. We don't cherry-pick wins; we log every prediction we publish, win or lose. Player markets shown above are informational only and never count toward that record. This is a league we don't have a proven record on yet, so these legs are the model's read on the bookies' odds, not yet part of our verified record.

View our full verified track record →  |  Full match preview →