Toronto FC vs Nashville SC Predictions & Odds
Odds & model pick drop in here once bookmakers price this fixture, check back closer to kickoff.
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Toronto FC have taken six points from their last five; Nashville SC have won three of their last five. The visitors bring the sharper form into this MLS tie.
D. Sallói has been Toronto FC's spearhead, with 5 goals and 4 assists in 21 appearances, averaging 0.95 shots on target per game. S. Surridge has been Nashville SC's main threat, with 12 goals and 0 assists in 15 appearances, averaging 1.27 shots on target per game.
Both sets of fans can dream here: this is two in-form sides on a collision course. Toronto FC come in on a D-W-D-L-D run, Nashville SC have gone W-W-D-L-W, and neither will fear the other. When form meets form like this, something has to give, and whichever way it breaks, it should be a proper occasion. Toronto FC's home form is particularly impressive right now. They're performing above their season average on their own turf. A concern for Nashville SC: they're giving up chances worth 2.1 a game over their last 5 (vs 1.7 for the season). The defence is creaking.
xG explained: Expected Goals measures chance quality. 1.5 xG = a side typically converts those chances into 1.5 goals. Outscoring xG = running hot, possible regression risk.
Toronto FC create chances worth 1.1 a game (and give up chances worth 1.4), leaving them -0.4 a game on the balance. Nashville SC create 1.8 (giving up 1.7) for a balance of +0.1. On the quality of chances, Nashville SC look the stronger side. they create more and give up less. Nashville SC's defence is giving up chances. Worth 2.1 a game over their last 5 vs 1.7 for the season. They're becoming easier to break down.
Toronto FC average 1.1 goals per game and Nashville SC manage 1.6. Combined that's just 2.7. We make it only 1% for three or more, so the lean is towards a lower-scoring game.
The complete price grid across all bookmakers.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Probability | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Toronto FC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% | |
| Match Result | Nashville SC Win | @0.00 | 0.0% |
Our model rating for this fixture will publish once bookmakers price the market and team form firms up, check back closer to kick-off.
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:30 in the MLS.