Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction
Monday 26 October 2026, 19:30 Ligue 11188 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Paris Saint Germain 67%
Draw 20%
Lyon 14%
The read
The deskParis Saint-Germain carry a five-match winning streak and strong home form into this game, while Lyon arrive missing a suspended wide man and two defenders despite sitting top of the table. Expect a home win in a moderate-scoring match, since Kvaratskhelia's season-ending injury and Dembele's absence blunt PSG's own attack almost as much as the missing Lyon defenders blunt theirs.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeParis Saint GermainKvaratskhelia: out, ACL, expected to miss rest of season · Dembele: out, thigh injury · Marquinhos: out, thigh injury · Nuno Mendes: out, muscle injury · Longoni: doubt, knock
LyonNakamura: suspended, red card v Nice · Tagliafico: out, knee injury · Ouedraogo: out, knee injury · Openda: out, leg injury · Kango: out, concussion
Checked Sat 24 Oct, 12:20.
5 games passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1
The research
ProThe trap here is backing goals at both ends because both sides have been scoring and winning. But Kvaratskhelia is out for the season (ACL) and Dembele is out (thigh) for PSG, and Openda is out (leg) for Lyon, cutting into both attacks' regular scoring outlets, while Lyon's away form is only 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in 5, not a reliable scoring floor on the road.
The only meeting on file between these two ended level, an easy headline for a repeat tip, but PSG have won their last 5 games outright and 3 straight at home, while Lyon travel with Nakamura suspended and Tagliafico and Ouedraogo both out injured, not the profile of a side built to hold out for a point.
“PSG's home run and Lyon's defensive absences point to a controlled home win, not a goal fest.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain win | 67% | 1.42 | 70% |
| Draw | 20% | 5.25 | 19% |
| Lyon win | 14% | 6.50 | 15% |
| Paris Saint Germain or draw | 1.13 | 88% | |
| Lyon or draw | 38% | 2.80 | 36% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.17 | 85% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.40 | 71% |
| Both teams to score | 61% | 1.53 | 65% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Recent form
Always freeParis Saint Germain
WWWWWW
Last 6, newest first: 6 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost. 17 scored, 7 conceded.
v Barcelona
4-2
Won
at Strasbourg
3-1
Won
at Manchester City
4-2
Won
v Le Mans
3-1
Won
at Marseille
2-1
Won
at Brest
1-0
Won
Lyon
LWWLWW
Last 6, newest first: 4 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost. 12 scored, 9 conceded.
at TSG Hoffenheim
0-3
Lost
v Nice
2-1
Won
v Crystal Palace
3-2
Won
at Lens
1-2
Lost
v Stade Rennais
4-0
Won
at Anderlecht
2-1
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Paris Saint Germain v Lyon: the numbers
Always freeParis Saint GermainLyon
4League position1
4-2-2League record, won-drawn-lost4-2-1
13-9Goals for and against13-5
14Points14
3-1-0Home record v away record1-1-1
1.63Scored a game1.86
1.13Conceded a game0.71
2.62xG for a game1.65
24%Clean sheets44%
26%Failed to score18%
62%Both teams scored50%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Paris Saint Germain v Lyon: head to head
Always freeOnly 1 meeting on our record, too few to read a pattern from.
Paris FC v Olympique Lyonnais
0-0
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: FAQs
Always freeParis Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Paris Saint Germain at 1.42. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon kick off?
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 19:30 UK time (Ligue 1).
What are the best odds for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
The best prices across the books we track: Paris Saint Germain 1.42, the draw 5.25, Lyon 6.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Paris Saint Germain: Kvaratskhelia: out, ACL, expected to miss rest of season, Dembele: out, thigh injury, Marquinhos: out, thigh injury, Nuno Mendes: out, muscle injury, Longoni: doubt, knock. Lyon: Nakamura: suspended, red card v Nice, Tagliafico: out, knee injury, Ouedraogo: out, knee injury, Openda: out, leg injury, Kango: out, concussion.
What form are Paris Saint Germain and Lyon in?
Paris Saint Germain have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 6 (W W W W W W, newest first), scoring 17 and conceding 7. Lyon have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 6 (L W W L W W, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 9.
What is the head to head between Paris Saint Germain and Lyon?
In their last meeting on our record, Paris Saint Germain won 0, Lyon won 0 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, 12 Sep 2026, finished Paris FC 0-0 Olympique Lyonnais.
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Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.