Paris Saint Germain v Lyon bet builder
A research tool, not a bookmaker, we build the picks, you place them with your own bookie. We don't take bets. 18+
The model's build
On the record-
1.11 +
Paris Saint Germain or draw
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 82% across 294 graded picks
The pre-match read for this game is double chance, Paris Saint Germain or draw (90%). Double chance is our strongest verified market.
-
1.14 +
Over 2.5 Goals
80%+ the modelRecord this market has landed 64% across 118 graded picks
Goals: the sides' goal rates read 2.50 and 2.50, so Over 2.5 Goals at 80%+.
The model puts this 2-leg build at 79% combined for Paris Saint Germain v Lyon. Legs from one game move together, so read the combined figure as a guide. Every published call is graded in public.
Alternative picks
- Paris Saint Germain Home Win 70% 1.43 +
- Under 4.5 Goals 70% 1.37 +
- Under 3.5 Goals 55% 1.88 +
- Paris Saint Germain (first half) First Half 55% 1.84 +
- Over 3.5 Goals 53% 1.97 +
More to build with
Extra markets · not trackedPlayer form
Projected from club-season form, informational, not part of our verified record. Build your own bet.
-
D. Doué Paris Saint GermainShots on target 1+
D. Doué: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 2.03/90 over 2 games (177 min), 30% weight
-
João Neves Paris Saint GermainShots on target 1+
João Neves: 0.67 shots on target a game over 6 games [WC form: 0.00/90 over 2 games (121 min), 22% weight
-
D. Doué Paris Saint GermainShots on target 2+
D. Doué: 1.00 shots on target a game over 7 games [WC form: 2.03/90 over 2 games (177 min), 30% weight
Projections from club-season form only. We never record or grade player markets. They sit outside our verified record by design. 18+ · BeGambleAware.
Match stats
Projected from each side's real season averages, and priced by us rather than taken from a bookmaker. These sit outside the tracked record, so build your own bet from them.
-
Over 10.5 Match Corners 42%Corners: Paris Saint Germain avg 4.8 for/2.9 against, Lyon avg 5.9 for/6.5 against so expected 10.1 match corners
-
Over 7.5 Match Corners 78%Corners: Paris Saint Germain avg 4.8 for/2.9 against, Lyon avg 5.9 for/6.5 against so expected 10.1 match corners; the safer line
-
Over 2.5 Match Cards 44%Cards: Paris Saint Germain avg 0.9/game, Lyon avg 1.5/game so expected 2.5 match cards
-
Over 20.5 Match Fouls 39%Fouls: Paris Saint Germain avg 8.7/game, Lyon avg 10.7/game so expected 19.4 match fouls
-
Over 16.5 Match Fouls 74%Fouls: Paris Saint Germain avg 8.7/game, Lyon avg 10.7/game so expected 19.4 match fouls; the safer line
-
Over 26.5 Match Shots 58%Shots: Paris Saint Germain avg 17.0/game, Lyon avg 10.8/game so expected 27.8 match shots
-
Over 22.5 Match Shots 80%+Shots: Paris Saint Germain avg 17.0/game, Lyon avg 10.8/game so expected 27.8 match shots; the safer line
How this is built
The model prices every fixture before kick-off. This build is its strongest team-market legs for this game: the result, goals, both teams to score. The number beside a leg is the model's own chance; the price is the fair price at that chance. Player legs are information, never part of the record. This league is on the record: every published call here is graded in public.
The market's own prices
Bookmaker prices with the margin still in. These are the market's numbers, not the model's, and no record of ours stands behind them. A price at 65% still fails about one time in three.
Same-game build one leg a market, live prices
3 legs on this fixture, one a market, priced across the books with the combined return. Built for members. Seven days for £1 opens it.
Market singles
-
Under 2.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill1.22 +
-
Over 0.5 first half goals 85% market William Hill1.20 +
-
Paris Saint Germain under 8.5 corners 83% market Betano1.27 +
-
Lyon under 4.5 corners 83% market Betano1.30 +
-
Under 12 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
-
Lyon over 2 corners 83% market 1xBet1.21 +
-
Paris Saint Germain under 3.5 goals 82% market Bet3651.25 +
-
Over 7.5 corners 82% market 1xBet1.27 +
-
Paris Saint Germain over 4.5 corners 82% market 1xBet1.22 +
-
Under 5.5 cards 80% market Betano1.25 +
-
Under 5 cards 79% market Pinnacle1.27 +
-
Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals 77% market Bet3651.33 +
More fixtures
All previews ›
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.