Toulouse vs Estac Troyes Prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:15 Ligue 11177 picks graded in public, misses included. The record
The model's read
Toulouse 59%
Draw 25%
Estac Troyes 17%
The read
The deskToulouse have beaten this fixture into the ground historically and Troyes arrive winless in five, out of form away from home, and without defender Titi. Expect goals and a home win rather than a nervy stalemate, with Troyes' season-long struggles the biggest factor shaping how open this game gets.
The model says
Always freeEvery call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.
Who is missing
Always freeToulouseAbu Francis: out long-term (injury sustained on Ghana duty) · Messali: out, season reportedly in doubt after a spring relapse (unconfirmed current status) · Dønnum: out (stale September listing, unconfirmed) · Nicolaisen: out (stale September listing, unconfirmed) · Restes: doubt (stale September listing, unconfirmed)
Estac TroyesTiti: out (quad injury, expected back around 31 October) · Boura: out, undisclosed injury (stale listing, unconfirmed current status)
Checked Thu 22 Oct, 18:19.
One game passed the rule today. It is in Pro, seven days for £1
The research
Pro4 of the last 10 h2h meetings were draws, the kind of stat a casual acca builder leans on. But Troyes are winless in their last 5 (lost 4) and have never won away in that same h2h sample, so the level-terms habit that produced those draws isn't supported by Troyes' current trajectory.
Troyes have never won away across the last 10 h2h meetings and are winless in their last 5 (lost 4). Losing defender Titi to injury thins out an already leaky away side travelling to a ground they've never taken three points from.
“Toulouse's h2h stranglehold and Troyes' five-game winless run point to a comfortable, goal-filled home win.”
Every market graded strong, medium or killed, and the desk's own word on the model's call, with the reason written down. In FBB Pro, on this game and every other. Seven days for £1
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The model v the market
Always free| Match model | Best price | Implied | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse win | 59% | 1.60 | 62% |
| Draw | 25% | 4.10 | 24% |
| Estac Troyes win | 17% | 5.50 | 18% |
| Toulouse or draw | 1.17 | 85% | |
| Estac Troyes or draw | 45% | 2.30 | 43% |
| Either side to win, no draw | 1.22 | 82% | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.62 | 62% |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 1.70 | 59% |
Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.
The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.
Every priced market
19 marketsThe bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.
Recent form
Always freeToulouse
WDWDLD
Last 6, newest first: 2 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost. 12 scored, 9 conceded.
at Le Mans
3-0
Won
at AS Monaco
2-2
Drew
v Le Havre AC
3-2
Won
at Lorient
2-2
Drew
v Lille
0-1
Lost
at Brest
2-2
Drew
Estac Troyes
LLLLLW
Last 6, newest first: 1 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost. 5 scored, 16 conceded.
v Lens
1-3
Lost
v Marseille
0-2
Lost
at Angers
0-2
Lost
at Lille
0-2
Lost
v Strasbourg
2-6
Lost
at Lorient
2-1
Won
Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.
Toulouse v Estac Troyes: the numbers
Always freeToulouseEstac Troyes
11League position-
2-3-2League record, won-drawn-lost-
12-11Goals for and against0-0
9Points0
1-0-2Home record v away record-
1.71Scored a game1.17
1.57Conceded a game1.58
2.03xG for a game1.31
29%Clean sheets33%
32%Failed to score42%
47%Both teams scored33%
League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.
Toulouse v Estac Troyes: head to head
Always freeToulouse v Estac Troyes
4-1
Estac Troyes v Toulouse
0-3
Toulouse v Estac Troyes
6-1
Estac Troyes v Toulouse
1-1
Toulouse v Estac Troyes
0-0
Toulouse v Estac Troyes
1-0
Estac Troyes v Toulouse
0-0
Toulouse v Estac Troyes
1-0
Estac Troyes v Toulouse
0-3
Toulouse v Estac Troyes
2-2
Likely scorelines
Always freeFrom each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: FAQs
Always freeToulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction: what is the call?
The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.
What time does Toulouse vs Estac Troyes kick off?
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:15 UK time (Ligue 1).
What are the best odds for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
The best prices across the books we track: Toulouse 1.60, the draw 4.10, Estac Troyes 5.50. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.
Who is missing for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Toulouse: Abu Francis: out long-term (injury sustained on Ghana duty), Messali: out, season reportedly in doubt after a spring relapse (unconfirmed current status), Dønnum: out (stale September listing, unconfirmed), Nicolaisen: out (stale September listing, unconfirmed), Restes: doubt (stale September listing, unconfirmed). Estac Troyes: Titi: out (quad injury, expected back around 31 October), Boura: out, undisclosed injury (stale listing, unconfirmed current status).
What form are Toulouse and Estac Troyes in?
Toulouse have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 6 (W D W D L D, newest first), scoring 12 and conceding 9. Estac Troyes have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 6 (L L L L L W, newest first), scoring 5 and conceding 16.
What is the head to head between Toulouse and Estac Troyes?
In their last 10 meetings on our record, Toulouse won 6, Estac Troyes won 0 and 4 were drawn. The most recent, 1 Feb 2023, finished Toulouse 4-1 Estac Troyes.
Recent singles, graded
Graded in public-
Thu 22 Oct
Pro single
Monaco v SC Freiburg
1.73
Over 2.5 goals (3-0) Landed
-
Wed 21 Oct
Pro single
Real Betis v Feyenoord
1.40
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-
Wed 21 Oct
Pro single
Club Brugge KV v Lens
1.53
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-
Tue 20 Oct
Pro single
Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona
1.53
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-
Sun 18 Oct
Pro single
FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew
1.40
Over 2.5 goals (0-2) Lost
Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.
The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one
- The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
- The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
- The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.
Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.