Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 17:30 Premier League

Build this bet

1057 picks graded in public, misses included. The record

The model's read

Newcastle 47% Draw 24% Aston Villa 29%

The desk has not written a card on this game. FBB Pro is the singles we'd pick ourselves, each with the desk's research behind it. Seven days for £1. 18+. BeGambleAware.org

The read

Always free

Newcastle (9th, 8 pts) host Aston Villa (16th, 4 pts) in the Premier League. Both sides will be targeting three points here.

Too close to call with any conviction. Newcastle edge it at 47% but a draw (24%) is just as likely. One to tread carefully with.

The model says

Always free
The call on this game Over 1.5
The best price 1.20Bet365

Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public. The whole record is on the track record, misses included.

Add the call to my slip · 1.20

The free pick of the day: Accrington ST v Cheltenham. One more game passed the rule today. See which, seven days for £1

The model v the market

Always free
Match modelBest priceImplied
Newcastle win 47% 2.10 48%
Draw 24% 3.70 27%
Aston Villa win 29% 3.20 31%
Newcastle or draw 72% 1.36 74%
Aston Villa or draw 57% 1.75 57%
Either side to win, no draw 1.28 78%
Over 2.5 goals 62% 1.62 62%
Both teams to score 62% 1.53 65%

Best price across the books we track, the same price as the list below, where the book is named.

The singles' third check uses our goals model, a separate number.

Every priced market

12 markets
Under 2 first half goals Marathon Bet 1.19
Aston Villa under 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.19
Under 4 goals Marathon Bet 1.23
Over 0.5 first half goals Bet365 1.28
Under 2.5 second half goals Bet365 1.28
Newcastle or Aston Villa (double chance) Bet365 1.28
Over 2 goals Marathon Bet 1.26
Newcastle under 2.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Aston Villa over 0.5 goals Bet365 1.28
Newcastle over 1 goals Marathon Bet 1.28
Over 1 second half goals Marathon Bet 1.29
Newcastle or Draw (double chance) Bet365 1.36

The bookmakers' best prices on every market we track for this game, corners, cards and shots included. Prices are theirs, with their margin in; our own number appears only where the model has a graded record. Tap any to add it to your slip.

Recent form

Always free
Aston Villa WWLWDL

Last 6, newest first: 3 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. 10 scored, 8 conceded.

Sat 19 Sep at tottenham hotspur 3-2 Won
Wed 16 Sep at coventry city 3-1 Won
Sat 12 Sep v Nottingham Forest 1-2 Lost
Tue 8 Sep at club brugge 3-2 Won
Sat 5 Sep at hull city 0-0 Drew
Mon 31 Aug v Arsenal 0-1 Lost

Each side's last finished games in all competitions, their goals first. At home reads v, away reads at.

Newcastle v Aston Villa: the numbers

Always free
NewcastleAston Villa 9League position16 2-2-1League record, won-drawn-lost1-1-3 9-9Goals for and against4-9 8Points4 1-2-0Home record v away record1-1-1 1.80Scored a game0.80 1.80Conceded a game1.80 com.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@20579453xG forcom.footballodds.service.XgService$TeamXg@6760298e 21%Clean sheets24% 24%Failed to score26% 66%Both teams scored58%

League record and goals from this season's table where the feed carries it; the rates are the share of each side's games in the data we hold.

Likely scorelines

Always free
2-110% 3-16% 3-04% 3-24% 4-13% 4-02%

From each side's goals scored and conceded a game, the home side's goals first. Information, not a call.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa: FAQs

Always free

Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction: what is the call?

The call on this game is Over 1.5 at 1.20. Every call is logged before kick-off and graded in public, misses included.

What time does Newcastle vs Aston Villa kick off?

Newcastle vs Aston Villa kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time (Premier League).

What are the best odds for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

The best prices across the books we track: Newcastle 2.10, the draw 3.70, Aston Villa 3.20. Prices move; the table on this page is the latest.

What form are Newcastle and Aston Villa in?

Aston Villa have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 (W W L W D L, newest first), scoring 10 and conceding 8.

Recent singles, graded

Graded in public

Every single is locked before kick-off, one unit each, and graded whatever happens.

Pro

The singles we'd pick ourselves, with the research and the price behind each one

  • The daily singles. Each one cleared three checks: the line landed in at least 9 of the two sides' last 12 games, a UK price of 1.35 or more, and our model's number clears what the price needs. Usually 0 to 5 a day, one unit each.
  • The case for each, put together. The last 12 against what the price needs, who is missing, the head to head, and the best price at a UK bookmaker, in one place.
  • The desk's card on every fixture it covers. Its verdict, every market graded, and the reason written down. And tomorrow's singles the night before.

Every pick published before kick-off, graded in public. The losing ones stay on the page.

Seven days for £1 then £9.99 a month, or £79.99 a year. Cancel any time.
The pick of the day is free, in full, on days with two or more singles. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Analysis and opinion, not betting advice.

More Premier League matches

Keep going